Category: 7-Day Outlook
Slick Spots For Some; Accumulating Late Weekend Snow? A fast-moving disturbance will move through the region during the overnight/ wee morning hours and provide light rain for most of central Indiana, but areas just north of the city will deal with an icy mixture of sleet and freezing rain (be watchful of slick spots if traveling north Tuesday morning). Sunshine will make a quick return and “work” on our temperatures to help boost afternoon highs into the middle 40s (once again :-))! Another fast-moving weather maker will arrive late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with mixed light rain and light snow. Again, light is the key word.
Colder, but drier weather will build in for the midweek stretch. The next weather item on the agenda will be a more vigorous clipper system that will slide southeast and result in increasing cloudiness Saturday night into Sunday morning followed by snow overspreading the region Sunday morning. Accumulating snow is possible Sunday afternoon into Monday morning and will require fine tuning in the days ahead. Precise track of the clipper system will determine where little, if any, snow falls and potentially several inches. Stay tuned. Regardless of the snow potential over the weekend, the stage is set for a MUCH colder time of things next week…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.20″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 3″
Longtime viewer and friend of IndyWx.com, Rick Ehrhardt, sent this fantastic Monday evening sunset from the Avon area. Thanks, Rick!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/early-morning-freezing-rain-for-some-watching-sunday-monday/
Challenging Northwest Flow…A series of fairly weak weather systems will scoot through the region through the first half of the week. Each disturbance will be capable of depositing a quick round of light precipitation. Timing will be the biggest issue at hand with the first couple weak disturbances. We’ll forecast light rain (perhaps a wet snow flake or two) tonight into the wee morning hours Tuesday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
A drier stretch of weather will arrive for the second half of the work week and early portions of the weekend. We target Sunday evening as the next opportunity for accumulating snow followed by a push of colder air. As of now, week 2 is looking unseasonably cold after seasonable to above average temperatures this week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.30″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2″ – 3″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/fast-moving-weak-weather-systems/
Moderation Continues; Windy Saturday…A weak frontal boundary will slip through the state this afternoon/ evening and could offer up a snow flurry. Otherwise it’s a rather uneventful forecast until Saturday when we introduce a gusty southwesterly wind (up to 30 MPH). The bright side of that southwesterly breeze will be that temperatures will reach the middle 40s.
The milder air will be very brief as a cold front moves through Saturday night and provides snow shower potential as early as Sunday morning. We should remain dry for the better part of the first half of next week, but we’ll be keeping a close watch for a potential winter storm brewing the middle to latter portions of next week…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting – 1″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/quiet-weather-for-now/
“Relaxation” Of The Bitterly Cold Pattern…That forecast package title sure wouldn’t suffice describing the weather outside this morning. It’s a downright bitter feel, including below zero temperatures throughout north-central Indiana. Patchy freezing fog and scattered flurries are also with us this morning. With some sunshine later, we’ll “warm” into the lower 20s this afternoon. A few flurries may fly tonight as a weak disturbance moves through the region.
Sunshine will be with us to wrap up the work week along with slowly moderating temperatures. Average highs this time of the year are in the middle 30s so we’ll be closer to average Thursday and Friday- though it’ll likely feel much warmer simply based off just how cold it’s been as of late. Gusty southwest winds will blow milder air in here briefly Saturday as temperatures climb into the middle 40s.
A cold front will sweep the state Sunday morning with a possible rain shower that’ll quickly transition to scattered snow showers as the colder air filters back into the region. The next storm system of note arrives early next week.
Upcoming 7-day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.20″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/bitterly-cold-start-but-moderation-on-the-way/
Highlights:
- Dangerous Cold Continues This Morning
- Winter Storm Arrives Sunday Afternoon
- Another Push Of Below Zero Air Mid Week
- Watching Thursday
Sunny Today; Next Winter Storm Arrives Tomorrow…While it’s always nice to see the sun, it won’t do much to warm temperatures this afternoon. Another frigid morning (all reporting sites across central Indiana went below zero again this morning) will only “warm” into the upper teens this afternoon.
The big focus of this forecast package has to do with what lies ahead Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. Model data continues to suggest central Indiana deals with another winter storm. A model average puts down between 0.30″ to 0.50″ (liquid equivalent). On a standard 10:1 ratio, that would be between 3-5″ of snow, and if that 0.30″-0.50″ all fell in the form of freezing rain we would be looking at a damaging ice storm. As of now it appears as if we deal with the entire wintry precipitation gamut.
Moisture will surge north Sunday afternoon and we bracket the hours between 3-5p for the onset of wintry precipitation. Low pressure will organize along the Gulf Coast and move northeast into the Tennessee Valley Monday morning. At the same time, another dome of arctic high pressure will begin to sink south. The end result should be a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain that eventually transitions to snow through the nighttime Sunday. Obviously timing that transition will be crucial in determining just how much snow and ice accumulates. As of now we’ll split the expected liquid equivalent down the middle and say 0.40″ falls across central Indiana. Of that 0.40″, 0.20″ may fall as freezing rain (glaze) and 0.20″ may fall as snow (which would stack up to a couple inches on the standard 10:1 ratio). Areas north of Indianapolis run a better chance of seeing the transition to snow faster while areas south of the city run a higher chance at accumulating more freezing rain. Stay tuned.
We go back into the deep freeze Tuesday-Wednesday and eye Thursday for the possibility of another storm system.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 3″
- 7-Day Freezing Rainfall Forecast: 0.20″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/next-winter-storm-moves-in-sunday-afternoon/