Wet Start; Not A Bad Finish…

Screen Shot 2015-08-05 at 11.07.16 PMHighlights:

  • Wet start today
  • Beautiful close to the week
  • Storms return early next week
  • No oppressive heat or humidity in the picture

Low pressure will track east through the lower Ohio Valley today and help spread widespread rain up to the I-70 corridor this morning.  Periods of heavy rain can be expected downstate.  Thankfully rain won’t stay around all day and we should get into clearing later this afternoon and evening as drier air wins out from northwest to southeast.  This will set up a beauty of a close to the work week with nice weather continuing into the weekend.

Moisture will return early next week and we’ll introduce storms into the picture as early as Sunday afternoon, but particularly Monday and Tuesday before drier, more refreshing air returns for mid week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″ (heavier south)

Early Morning Storms…

Screen Shot 2015-08-02 at 10.25.16 PMHighlights:

  • Monday morning storms
  • Wet mid week stretch
  • Keeping a watchful eye to the northwest

As we type this, storms are expanding and intensifying in coverage to our north, across the Great Lakes region.  We expect these storms to continue to build west as they sink south and southeast with time.  As such, don’t be surprised by a predawn wake-up call,  courtesy of Mother Nature Monday morning.  A few storms could be strong to severe with the primary concern being damaging winds.

After a nice Tuesday, low pressure will track east and provide widespread rain and thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday.  Locally heavy rainfall is a good bet.

Once to late week and the weekend, confidence begins to lower.  We’ll remain in a challenging northwest flow and models can struggle in handling specific features.  That said, we’re keeping our fingers crossed for pleasant weather to wrap up the work week and head into the weekend, along with well below normal temperatures.  Rain and storm chances return Sunday.

Upcoming 7 Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 3″ with locally heavier totals

Awesome Open To The Weekend; Wet Pattern Quickly Returns…

Screen Shot 2015-07-31 at 11.17.18 PMHighlights:

  • Beautiful Saturday ahead
  • Wet and stormy pattern returns
  • Cooler than normal air arrives

We couldn’t ask for a better start to the weekend.  Today will feature lots of sunshine, pleasant humidity and temperatures, and absolutely perfect conditions to spend time outdoors!  Enjoy because active times return for the second half of the weekend that will carry us into next week.

As promised, we’re heading back into a very busy weather pattern.  The hot dome of air (ridge of high pressure) will shift southwest and allow multiple disturbances to ride the outer periphery of the ridge in a northwest to southeast fashion.  Each disturbance will be capable of producing periods of showers and thunderstorms- some of which may produce locally heavy rainfall.

As we progress into the latter portion of the work week questions abound.  How far does drier air penetrate south?  What’s the precise location of the ridge?  Both will have to be answered in due time.  For now, we’re sticking with an unsettled regime with progressively cooler air.  If some of the drier solutions verify then we’ll remove rain and storms altogether once past Thursday and introduce even cooler air.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally heavier totals)

Hot And Humid With Storms, But Relief Is Coming…

Screen Shot 2015-07-28 at 11.34.23 PMHighlights:

  • Thundery Wednesday
  • Much more refreshing feel to close the week
  • Storm chances return early next week

A cold front will move through the region Wednesday afternoon and evening.  The front will slice into a very warm and humid air mass so strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, especially late morning into the afternoon/ evening.  We’re not forecasting widespread severe, but with all of the moisture in the atmosphere, locally heavy rain and additional flash flooding can’t be ruled out.

At any rate, a much more pleasant feel can be expected to wrap up the work week. We note dew points plunge from the upper 70s Wednesday morning into the upper 50s Thursday morning.  Talk about nice!

While we have to maintain a mention of a shower over the weekend, the majority will be rain-free.  The pesky NW flow aloft may push a weak disturbance into central IN so we have to mention the threat of an isolated shower Saturday into Sunday.

Looking ahead, next week is potentially an active one, including a heavy rain threat followed by a big push of early August cool air.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally higher totals under storms)

Can’t Ask For Anything Better This Time Of Year…

Screen Shot 2015-07-23 at 11.28.22 PMHighlights:

  • Beauty of a close to the work week
  • Humidity and storm chances return this weekend
  • Turning hot ahead of a cold front next week

We simply can’t ask for more beautiful weather this time of year than what we’ll enjoy to wrap up the work week.  (3 day weekend, anyone)?  Make time to spend outdoors today!

Warmth and humidity will be on the uptick this weekend and with the increasingly humid air, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms can be expected.  That said, there’ll be more dry time than not this weekend so there’s no need to cancel any of those outdoor plans.

Heat will build early next week, along with continued “splash and dash” storm coverage- particularly of the PM variety.  Best rain and storm chances should come Thursday as a cold front draws near.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″ (locally heavier totals under stronger storms)