Category: 7-Day Outlook

Humid Feel To Open The Week Doesn’t Last…

Screen Shot 2015-08-09 at 9.27.00 PMHighlights:

  • Early week storm threat
  • Drier, cooler air inbound
  • Next rain chance comes Saturday

The week will open with a typical humid and oppressive feel, but take heart in knowing it won’t last long.  A cold front will move through the region Monday night and drier air will filter into the Hoosier state Tuesday.  A much cooler and drier air mass will be with us through mid week before warmth builds heading into the weekend.  Thursday morning will have many really craving those cool, crisp autumn mornings.

As far as rain and storm chances are concerned, we’ll keep an eye to the sky for scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage today.  Forecast models differ on the weekend.  The GFS suggests a cold front moves through here Saturday with scattered showers and thunderstorms and we’ll lean in that direction for now.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 0.75″

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Pick Of The Weekend Is Today; Taste Of Early Fall Coming…

Screen Shot 2015-08-08 at 9.21.27 AMHighlights:

  • Half-n-half weekend
  • Early week storms
  • Fall preview coming

The weekend is off to a pleasant start- both from a temperature and humidity perspective, but also with current sky conditions across the area.  Expect periods of mid and high level cloudiness to increase later today.  We also note some of our shorter term modeling trying to push light rain into the picture by evening, but think the air mass will take some time to moisten up before we see much in the way of rain.  Most of this should dissipate moving into western IN this evening.

The second half of the weekend will provide much better chances of showers and embedded thunder.  In fact, we expect a couple waves of showers and thunderstorms Sunday.  It won’t rain the entire time, but keep the umbrella and rain gear handy.  Thunderstorm chances will continue as we open the new work week before a big push of cooler and drier air engulfs the region heading into mid week.  An early fall preview will settle in Tuesday evening and have things feeling mighty nice around these parts for the rest of the week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/pick-of-the-weekend-is-today-taste-of-early-fall-coming/

Wet Start; Not A Bad Finish…

Screen Shot 2015-08-05 at 11.07.16 PMHighlights:

  • Wet start today
  • Beautiful close to the week
  • Storms return early next week
  • No oppressive heat or humidity in the picture

Low pressure will track east through the lower Ohio Valley today and help spread widespread rain up to the I-70 corridor this morning.  Periods of heavy rain can be expected downstate.  Thankfully rain won’t stay around all day and we should get into clearing later this afternoon and evening as drier air wins out from northwest to southeast.  This will set up a beauty of a close to the work week with nice weather continuing into the weekend.

Moisture will return early next week and we’ll introduce storms into the picture as early as Sunday afternoon, but particularly Monday and Tuesday before drier, more refreshing air returns for mid week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″ (heavier south)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wet-start-not-a-bad-finish/

Early Morning Storms…

Screen Shot 2015-08-02 at 10.25.16 PMHighlights:

  • Monday morning storms
  • Wet mid week stretch
  • Keeping a watchful eye to the northwest

As we type this, storms are expanding and intensifying in coverage to our north, across the Great Lakes region.  We expect these storms to continue to build west as they sink south and southeast with time.  As such, don’t be surprised by a predawn wake-up call,  courtesy of Mother Nature Monday morning.  A few storms could be strong to severe with the primary concern being damaging winds.

After a nice Tuesday, low pressure will track east and provide widespread rain and thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday.  Locally heavy rainfall is a good bet.

Once to late week and the weekend, confidence begins to lower.  We’ll remain in a challenging northwest flow and models can struggle in handling specific features.  That said, we’re keeping our fingers crossed for pleasant weather to wrap up the work week and head into the weekend, along with well below normal temperatures.  Rain and storm chances return Sunday.

Upcoming 7 Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 3″ with locally heavier totals

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/early-morning-storms/

Awesome Open To The Weekend; Wet Pattern Quickly Returns…

Screen Shot 2015-07-31 at 11.17.18 PMHighlights:

  • Beautiful Saturday ahead
  • Wet and stormy pattern returns
  • Cooler than normal air arrives

We couldn’t ask for a better start to the weekend.  Today will feature lots of sunshine, pleasant humidity and temperatures, and absolutely perfect conditions to spend time outdoors!  Enjoy because active times return for the second half of the weekend that will carry us into next week.

As promised, we’re heading back into a very busy weather pattern.  The hot dome of air (ridge of high pressure) will shift southwest and allow multiple disturbances to ride the outer periphery of the ridge in a northwest to southeast fashion.  Each disturbance will be capable of producing periods of showers and thunderstorms- some of which may produce locally heavy rainfall.

As we progress into the latter portion of the work week questions abound.  How far does drier air penetrate south?  What’s the precise location of the ridge?  Both will have to be answered in due time.  For now, we’re sticking with an unsettled regime with progressively cooler air.  If some of the drier solutions verify then we’ll remove rain and storms altogether once past Thursday and introduce even cooler air.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally heavier totals)

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