Aug 31
Updated 08.31.22 @ 7:33a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/31/video-wrapping-up-august-on-a-gorgeous-note-heat-builds-and-storm-chances-return-over-the-holiday-weekend/
Aug 30
Updated 08.30.22 @ 7:40a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/30/reviewing-rainfall-amounts-cooler-and-less-humid-through-the-remainder-of-the-work-week-heat-returns-over-the-holiday-weekend/
Aug 29
Updated 08.29.22 @ 7:00a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/29/video-gusty-storm-complex-takes-aim-on-the-region-later-this-evening/
Aug 28
Updated 08.28.22 @ 11:02a
Temperatures are already pushing the 80° mark before lunchtime with sunny skies across the region.
The airmass is certainly much muggier than we’ve enjoyed as of late. Note dew points around 70° late Sunday morning across the region.
The combination of heat and humidity with just enough lift present from a warm front lifting north through the state this evening, should be enough to allow widely scattered storms to develop by evening, continuing into the early portion of the overnight. Everyone won’t see a storm and coverage won’t be nearly as widespread as what we expect at times through the early portion of the work week, but a few locally heavy downpours are likely to develop between 6p and midnight. High resolution guidance is beginning to also pick up on this.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/28/pre-sunday-lunch-update/
Aug 28
Updated 08.28.22 @ 8:18a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/28/video-cold-front-passes-tuesday-unsettled-open-to-the-work-week-gives-way-to-pleasant-weather-leading-up-to-labor-day/
Aug 27
Updated 08.27.22 @ 6:15p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/27/video-cooler-regime-to-open-september-doesnt-last-long-warmer-than-normal-start-to-meteorological-fall-expected/
Aug 27
Updated 08.27.22 @ 7:53a
First and foremost, happy college football season! Sure, this weekend’s games aren’t terribly exciting, but LIVE college football is back and sets the stage for an incredible slate this upcoming weekend! I’m looking forward to being on the Plains of southern Alabama next weekend to celebrate the return of another special Auburn football season!
I will still be posting a Client Video later today, but wanted to dedicate this post to the two test cases in the week ahead:
I. Strength and magnitude of the cooler air to open September
II. Pre Labor Day tropical excitement in the Gulf of Mexico
Let’s start with the cooler potential. The European has trended closer to the GFS solution in recent runs, opening September on a cooler than normal note. The GFS is still more aggressive with the cool down to open up meteorological fall, but the European is trending more and more towards this solution. What’s at stake? A couple of days to open the month with lows into the lower 50s (mid to upper 50s inside the circle, itself) and highs in the upper 70s with that classic autumn sky. Side note: a significantly warmer (hotter) pattern looms thereafter.
Now let’s talk about the tropics. Not much has changed here with the vast differences in handling the lead feature (threat in the Gulf of Mexico as Labor Day weekend nears). This morning, the GFS continues to beat the drum on this potential while the European isn’t excited in the least. We note the European ensemble product isn’t even hinting at the threat of a depression to develop during this period. It’ll be mighty interesting to see how this plays out in the coming days. We should gain more clarity early in the work week. I will say, should something form, it appears to be an eventual southern of western Gulf threat from this distance.
Video discussion looking over 12z data and jumping ahead to the next big surge of warmth will be online later today.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/27/checking-in-on-those-test-cases/
Aug 26
Updated 08.26.22 @ 7:50a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/26/video-gfs-european-test-case-to-open-up-september/
Aug 25
Updated 08.25.22 @ 7:45a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/25/video-discussing-rain-chances-today-long-range-update-looking-through-the-first-few-weeks-of-met-fall/
Aug 24
Updated 08.24.22 @ 7:31a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/08/24/video-moisture-levels-increase-unsettled-times-return-over-the-weekend-and-into-early-next-week/