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Dry, Chilly November Weekend; Mid Week Storms…

Screen Shot 2015-11-07 at 10.56.54 AMHighlights:

  • Sunny and cool
  • Midweek Storms
  • Prolonged period of windy weather late week

High pressure is building into the Ohio Valley this weekend and helping supply sunshine and that cool, crisp air we enjoy this time of year.  Freeze and frost conditions are ahead tonight and again Monday morning as high pressure moves overhead and results in clear skies and calm winds.

As the high moves to our east, a return SW flow will help moderate temperatures for mid week. As our next storm system comes out of the Plains it’ll intensify as it tracks into the Great Lakes.  Thunderstorms will accompany the cold front as it swings through the state Wednesday night.  We’ll monitor for strong to severe storm potential.  A lot will hinge upon the precise track of the surface low and we’ll keep a close eye on things over the next couple days.  We’ll turn cooler again late next week with strong winds shifting from the SW to NW.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″

7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy

UPDATED SST CA Model Is In The House…

As promised, we wanted to provide some thoughts around the updated sea surface temperature constructed analog model that was released this morning.  In short, there aren’t many huge differences from…

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Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, SST Discussion, Winter thoughts...

Gusty Storms Followed By November Chill…

Screen Shot 2015-11-04 at 9.55.56 PMHighlights:

  • One more warm day
  • Gusty storms late tonight-Friday morning
  • Feeling more seasonal this weekend
  • Next storm arrives at the end of the period

High pressure will give way to an approaching cold front tonight.  Variably cloudy skies this morning will turn increasingly cloudy as the afternoon/ evening progresses.  Gusty SW winds will increase and gust over 20 MPH by afternoon.

The cold front will move through central IN early Friday morning and be preceded by a line of showers and embedded thunderstorms.  A few of these storms may contain strong winds, and this potential is something we’ll continue to keep a close eye on through the day Thursday.  Beneficial rains will also accompany the frontal passage.

The big story going into the weekend will be a much cooler, more seasonable feel, but sunshine will also be in our forecast.

Our next storm system of note appears to have eyes on the region by the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.5″ – 1″

7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy