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Scattered Storms; Turning Much Cooler…

Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 7.46.00 AMHighlights:

  • AM fog burns off today
  • Scattered storms
  • Much cooler air coming

Afternoon And Evening Thunder…Morning fog (some dense) will eventually burn off and give way to a muggy day.  As afternoon heating takes place, scattered evening thunderstorms are a good bet, especially north of Indianapolis.  We’ll repeat this to wrap up the work week Friday.

A cold front will take aim at the region Saturday evening and scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany this boundary as it moves through.  A few storms could reach strong to severe levels Saturday PM as the front moves through.

Winds will shift to the NW and usher in a much cooler and drier brand of air for the second half of the weekend, continuing into the early portion of next week.  Many will likely be craving fall by early next week coming off multiple mornings with lows in the 50s.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Fog, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Early Fall Feel Coming…

Screen Shot 2016-08-17 at 10.08.38 AMHighlights:

  • Scattered Showers
  • Saturday storm chance
  • Early fall feel on deck

Drier Overall…It’s been a wet few days across the region.  While we’ll begin to transition towards a drier regime to wrap up the work week, scattered showers and storms will remain in the forecast today and Thursday.  Best concentration of storms will be located across north-central IN this evening.  Rain/ storm coverage will be even less on Thursday.

Our next item of interest will arrive on the scene in the form of a cold front Saturday.  Showers and a couple gusty thunderstorms are a good bet Saturday afternoon/ evening as the cold front sweeps through the state.  Our winds will then shift to the northwest and help usher in a much cooler, drier time of things for the second half of the weekend.  Stepping outside Sunday morning will provide a definite hint of fall, complete with a breezy NW wind.

Early next week will continue to feature dry and unseasonably cool times before we turn our attention to what could potentially be a heavy rain maker setting up just past the 7-day period…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Another Wet Day…

Screen Shot 2016-08-16 at 7.37.17 AMHighlights:

  • Periods of rain
  • Increasing sunshine as we push into late week
  • Weekend cold front

Keep The Rain Gear Handy…Whew, after an incredibly busy evening, things will be much quieter today.  Despite not having a severe threat, we will have to deal with wet times as periods of rain continue.  Rain coverage will diminish Wednesday, but we’ll keep scattered showers in the forecast.

Drier air will arrive Thursday and Friday, including a partly cloudy sky.  The next weather item on the horizon is a weekend cold front.  This frontal boundary will help increase storm chances Saturday into early Sunday (a few storms Saturday evening could be on the strong side).  MUCH cooler, early fall-like, air awaits next week…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.75″-1.25″

Here are a few photos I shot Monday evening (8.15.16), between 6:47p-6:55p, just after the tornado touched down in Whitestown.

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Tornado281516

Tornado381516

Tornado481516

Tornado581516

1 Comment 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Tornadoes, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Wet Day; Enhanced Flood Risk Tonight For Some…

The National Weather Service has expanded the Flash Flood Watch to encompass more of the viewing area.  This is in effect until 8p Tuesday.

Screen Shot 2016-08-15 at 7.26.16 AMNo doubt about it, today will be very wet across the entire region, including periods of heavy rain- especially across the western half of the state.

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4Tropical moisture will continue to stream into the state tonight into Tuesday.  In fact, most intense rains will likely set up tonight and may feature “banding” signatures that would train over the same areas.  Within these intense rain bands, prolific rainfall rates can be expected, enhancing the flash flood risk.  Latest short-term model data shows this threat, and would place a premium focus on areas generally west of US-31.  We’ll have to keep a close eye on things.

2Plenty of “juice” is available to tap into across western sections tonight.  Precipitable water values (PWATs) of 2″-2.5″ will be more than enough to fuel torrential rainfall.

hrrr_pwat_indy_16Eventually (mid and late week), we’ll dry things out and a significant cool down is still in store developing this weekend into early next week.  Lows will fall deep into the 50s with highs only in the 70s.  Talk about an early taste of fall…

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Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Heavy Rain Continues; Early Fall Preview Late Next Weekend…

Screen Shot 2016-08-14 at 9.57.05 AMHighlights:

  • Periods of heavy rain
  • Drying out come mid week
  • Cold front arrives next weekend

Flooding Concerns…Renewed heavy rain is pushing through central IN as we write up the morning forecast package.  This conveyor belt of moisture will continue to lift northeast and eventually break up and diminish during the late morning and early afternoon.  Despite scattered showers this afternoon, drier times will ensue, overall.  Unfortunately, this drier period won’t last long as another slug of moisture lifts north late tonight and continues Monday.   Additional heavy rainfall can be expected, including the potential of rainfall rates approaching 2″+/ hour.  Given the water-logged soils across the region, concerns of flash flooding are very high Monday.

Eventually, we’ll dry things out come mid week and introduce more sunshine back into the forecast.  Our next item on the agenda will be a cold front that will sweep through the state Saturday.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the boundary as it moves through the region before much drier and cooler air blows in for the second half of the weekend.  In fact, a welcomed early fall preview awaits come Sunday.  Thoughts of football, pumpkin “everything,” bonfires, and apple cider will be prevalent this time next week…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2″-4″ (locally heavier totals)

 

7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Flooding, Football, Forecast, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather