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Nov 13

January In November…

• Filed under Arctic Cold, Client, Ensemble Discussion, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, snow, Thanksgiving, Unseasonably Cool Weather

• November 13, 2022

Updated 11.13.22 @ 8a

After a record snowfall Saturday, we’re left with a dry and unseasonably cold start to the new week. Quick tip: we suggest getting accustomed to the cold as it’s not going anywhere fast.

Note how the ensemble guidance below keeps well below normal temperatures locked in over the upcoming couple weeks.

Our next storm system will approach quickly. Low pressure will track out of the southern Plains into the lower Ohio Valley Tuesday. This will allow precipitation to overspread the region from southwest to northeast early Tuesday morning (likely before sunrise for most). With the unseasonably cold air in place, most, if not all, of this precipitation should take the form of light snow. Additional light accumulation of snow is a good bet for Indiana, including southern portions of the state, Tuesday.

Behind this system, reinforcing cold air will pour southeast midweek with wrap around snow showers along with a gusty northwest breeze. Temperatures will likely be hard pressed even to make it above freezing by late next week and early Thanksgiving week, including overnight lows deep into the 10s.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/11/13/january-in-november/

Nov 12

Morning Snow “Thump” Gives Way To Afternoon Snow Showers…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Short term update, snow, Snow Squalls, Unseasonably Cool Weather

• November 12, 2022

Updated 11.12.22 @ 7:05a

0.8” is the average November snowfall in Indianapolis. We have no changes to our ideas from yesterday with most across the region picking up anywhere from 0.5” to 1.5”, but there will likely be a couple 2”-3” reports by the time the “system” snow diminishes towards lunchtime. Please keep us posted on what you see. Despite relatively warm ground conditions, the time of day that the snow is falling along with the intensity should be more than enough to even generate slushy road conditions at times as well. Take it slow and allow yourself extra time to reach your destination if traveling this morning.

After this morning’s “thump” of snow moves to the northeast, lake effect snow showers and embedded squalls will scoot southeast across the state. These won’t add much to the morning accumulation. Temperatures will then fall into the middle 20s for most tonight.

Don’t look now but another accumulating snow event will likely ride into town Tuesday…

Back-to-back accumulating snow events are tough to come by around these parts in mid November. Flip off a dime and an early start to the snow season, indeed…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/11/12/morning-snow-thump-gives-way-to-afternoon-snow-showers/