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Quick Afternoon Video Update

Your complete full, updated, forecast will be online later this evening.  Here’s a look at the 12z model data….coming more in line with what the European model has been saying…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/10/04/quick-afternoon-video-update/

Monitoring Where The Heaviest Axis Of Rain Sets Up

Good Friday morning!  Overnight model data is in and we continue to look things over from a total rainfall perspective, as well as any severe weather threat that exists Saturday evening. As of now, we anticipate the best chance of any kind of severe thunderstorms to occur Saturday evening/ night and the biggest threat appears to be from a damaging wind standpoint.  The latest severe weather outlook from the trusted Storm Prediction Center (SPC) places central and western Indiana under a Slight Risk of severe weather Saturday.

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The 12z NAM is hot off the press and suggests the heaviest rainfall threat is mostly east of Indianapolis proper.  There’s the chance rainfall amounts approach 2″ across far eastern Indiana.  We’ll continue to analyze the data as it comes in this afternoon and have a complete update posted later today.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/10/04/monitoring-where-the-heaviest-axis-of-rain-sets-up/

Friday Forecast: Feeling Like Summer In October

Updated 10.04.13 @ 7:45a

Zionsville, IN Thursday started off with cloudy skies and scattered showers, but rainfall amounts were extremely light for the most part across central Indiana.

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Status-weather-clouds-iconFriday: Partly cloudy; 64/ 84

While we cannot rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm Friday, we think the majority of central Indiana wraps up the work week rain-free. Get outside and enjoy temperatures at summer-like levels. We think we top the middle 80s with continued unseasonably muggy conditions prevailing.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconSaturday: Increasing clouds; late showers and t-storms; 0.40″ 66/ 80

Most of your Saturday looks rain-free and continued unseasonably warm. We’ll note a gusty southwesterly breeze from time to time. As a cold front approaches, skies will begin to cloud up and scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop. Rain chances will be with us in a widely scattered form from late morning on, but the better chances of getting wet appear to arrive Saturday night. We also note the Storm Prediction Center has placed the region in a Slight Risk of severe weather, with damaging winds the primary threat Saturday night. Stay tuned!

Status-weather-showers-day-iconSunday: Cloudy with showers and t-storms- late day clearing; 0.60″ 50/ 66

Showers and thunderstorms will be likely on your way to church Sunday morning, continuing into the afternoon before clearing takes place late. Winds will shift to the northwest and help usher in a MUCH cooler air mass Sunday afternoon. Temperatures will fall through the afternoon Sunday.

Status-weather-clear-iconMonday: Mostly sunny; 43/ 60

“FINALLY.” At least that will be the word IndyWx.com uses to describe Monday’s weather as some true autumn air builds into the region. Monday is shaping up to be a beauty of a day with bright sunshine and crisp, cool temperatures.

Status-weather-clear-iconTuesday: Mostly sunny; 44/ 68

Tuesday is looking to be a carbon copy of Monday thanks to high pressure remaining in control of our weather.  Classic early October weather conditions will prevail early next week.

 

Status-weather-clouds-iconWednesday & Thursday: Partly cloudy; mid to upper 40s/ lower to middle 70s

Dry conditions will continue as we progress through the middle of next week with moderating temperatures. Highs will return to above normal levels by Wednesday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/10/03/friday-forecast-feeling-like-summer-in-october/

Thursday Forecast; Warm & Muggy Conditions Prevail

Forecast updated 10.03.13 @ 7:32a

Zionsville, IN It sure is hard to believe we’re in early October.  Multiple days with dew points running at summer-like levels, along with temperatures a solid 10 degrees above normal will continue as we wrap up the work week. We discuss rain/ storm chances below. Even this morning there are considerable differences between the European and GFS, in particular.

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Today: Scattered showers- 0.20″; 66/ 81

We think considerable cloudiness dominates the central Indiana landscape with scattered showers.  Rainfall amounts will be light for most and certainly much less than the aggressive European model suggested earlier in the week. We’ll sum today up as Mostly cloudy, warm, and muggy, with scattered showers.  We’re not looking at all day rains by any means, but keep the rain gear handy in case a shower moves through while you’re out and about.

Status-weather-clouds-iconFriday: Partly cloudy; 65/ 83

While we can’t completely rule out an isolated to widely scattered shower Friday, we anticipate most neighborhoods remaining dry.  Warm and unseasonably humid conditions will persist as we put a wrap on another work week.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconSaturday:  Partly cloudy, late night showers and t-storms- 0.40″; 66/ 82

Most of your Saturday should feature nice early autumn weather conditions.  In fact, it’ll feel more like summer rather than fall as gusty southwest winds help temperatures zoom into the lower 80s with a partly cloudy sky. Winds will gust upwards of 25 MPH in the open country Saturday afternoon. Otherwise, clouds will begin to increase later Saturday afternoon and showers and thunderstorms will move in Saturday night, in advance of a cold front.

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Sunday: Early showers and t-storms then decreasing clouds- 0.50″; 48/ 66

After reviewing latest model data we now think most of the showers and thunderstorms fall during the first half of your Sunday with decreasing cloudiness, falling temperatures, and a distinct wind shift taking shape Sunday afternoon. That said, as mentioned to open the forecast above, considerable model differences remain between our two more powerful forecast models. Stay tuned. Once the front blows east of the region, you’ll certainly know it as a MUCH cooler and drier air mass is ushered in on winds gusting upwards of 25 MPH.

Status-weather-clouds-iconMonday: Partly cloudy; 44/ 63

“Now this is what it’s supposed to be like!”  That’s at least what this weatherman will be saying Monday. After a period of multiple days of unseasonably warm and muggy conditions, it’ll be nice to get some actual fall-like weather to enjoy as we kick off the new work week.

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Tuesday: Partly cloudy; 43/ 69

I hope you liked Monday’s weather forecast, as we’ll repeat that on Tuesday- perhaps just with a touch more sunshine and moderating afternoon temperatures, after a chilly start to the day.  Pumpkin spice latte anyone?

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Wednesday: Partly cloudy; 49/ 74

The early take at the middle of next week shows dry skies remaining with temperatures moderating back to above normal levels.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/10/02/thursday-forecast-warm-muggy-conditions-prevail/

Brief Shots Of Cool Weather In An Otherwise Warm Pattern

Good Wednesday afternoon! As we analyze the latest data, one thing that screams out to us is that our warmer than normal pattern is going to continue at least for…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/10/02/brief-shots-of-cool-weather-in-an-otherwise-warm-pattern/

Wednesday Forecast: Unseasonably Warm & Muggy

Updated 10.01.13 @ 9:44p Zionsville, IN Even after a late rally by the sun, October 2013 opened as the warmest in six years. We continue the warm, unseasonably muggy, and…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/10/01/wednesday-forecast-unseasonably-warm-muggy/

Tuesday Forecast: Unsettled Pattern Developing; Late Weekend Chill

Updated 09.30.13 @ 5:25p Zionsville, IN While we’ll enjoy a sunny couple of days ahead, we’re heading into an overall unsettled weather pattern for the remainder of the week. Lingering…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/30/tuesday-forecast-unsettled-pattern-developing-late-weekend-chill/

A Look Ahead: Sunday Evening Rambles

It’s been a relaxing weekend here at IndyWx.com headquarters, complete with lots of time visiting with family and friends, and enjoying what’s truly important in this life. Auburn was off…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/29/a-look-ahead-sunday-evening-rambles/

The European Model Isn’t Without Sin…

You probably hear myself, and many other weather sources, speak of the European forecast model (ECMWF) as one of the best in the business. While that’s true, it does not…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/29/the-european-model-isnt-without-sin/

First True Blast Of Cold Air?!

There continue to be indications a strong cold front could blow through the state one week from today and usher in a big change in the temperature department by next…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/27/first-true-blast-of-cold-air/

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