Apr 03
Updated 04.03.22 @ 9:11a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/03/video-nice-close-to-the-weekend-before-an-extended-stretch-of-unsettled-weather/
Apr 02
Updated 04.02.22 @ 8:46a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/02/video-busy-pattern-this-week-wintry-conditions-next-weekend/
Apr 01
Updated 04.01.22 @ 8:07a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/01/video-active-time-of-things-as-we-open-up-april/
Mar 31
Updated 03.31.22 @ 7:09a
As we look ahead over the next couple weeks, a rather active pattern is expected to continue, including multiple storm systems that will likely impact our area every few days. This will likely also result in brief but significant spikes of warmth ahead of the system (example: yesterday’s high of 78°) in what otherwise will be a period of cooler than normal conditions.
Despite the active nature of the pattern, precipitation should be pretty close to average through the middle of April, locally. The heavier rainfall, relative to average, will be confined to the Gulf Coast.
It’s been a while since we talked about the MJO and that’s due to it being a non-factor over the past couple weeks residing in the null, or neutral, phase.
Other teleconnections (namely the NAO and EPO) have supported the overall cooler regime of late. However, these drivers are in the process of flipping to states (positive) that will at least likely attempt to drive more sustained warmth our way as we approach mid-April. Modeling may be catching on to that as well. Note when looking at 5-day increments, the ‘mean’ trough position is looking to dump the trough into the West closer to mid April.
Moral of the story is to hang in there. Though we still yet have additional chilly times to get through over the next 10-14 days, there’s reason to begin buying into the potential of more sustained warmth trying to take hold towards mid and late month.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/31/long-range-update-the-roller-coaster-that-is-spring/
Mar 30
Updated 03.30.22 @ 6:38a
Our region will undergo a weather whiplash of sorts over the next 24-36 hours. We’ll briefly spike into the low-mid 70s with a strong southerly wind this afternoon- only to crash Thursday, including the opportunity for snow showers by evening.
The “transition” will be met with rain and storms tonight. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) includes southern Indiana in a “slight” risk of severe weather and this is for storms that will arrive this evening. The primary concern from a severe perspective is damaging straight line winds. The idea here is that the approaching line of storms may include a couple “bowing” segments across southern Indiana (along and south of a line from Terre Haute to Bloomington) roughly between 7p and 10p west to east.
Temperatures will then fall through the day Thursday and wrap around moisture will begin to mix with and transition to wet snow showers Thursday evening into Friday morning… (Remember, we’re only the messenger).
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/30/much-warmer-day-timing-out-the-arrival-of-storms/
Mar 29
Updated 03.29.22 @ 6:45a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/29/video-chilly-showers-build-in-this-afternoon-storms-blow-in-wednesday-evening/
Mar 28
Updated 03.28.22 @ 6:35a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/28/video-sunny-cold-open-to-the-work-week-tracking-midweek-storms/
Mar 27
Updated 03.27.22 @ 8:52a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/27/video-conditions-come-together-for-a-few-strong-storms-wednesday-evening-colder-shift-yet-again-to-close-the-week/
Mar 26
Updated 03.26.22 @ 8:45a
Some northern Indianapolis suburbs are waking up to more than a coating of snow this morning (have reports of 1″ to 2″ in and around Fishers this morning). Across other parts of the area, snow didn’t accumulate much more than a dusting, but all of the area has gotten in on the late season snow “excitement” (at least seeing it fall) between last night and early Saturday morning.
As we progress through the day, drier air will take hold and help put an end to the localized snow squalls. Skies will clear tonight and winds will diminish, allowing temperatures to fall into the middle 20s. If that’s not cold enough, Monday morning should feature low temperatures between 20° and 22° for most, especially outside of the immediate metro.
The new work week will open with sunshine before clouds increase late Monday and into Tuesday. Light rain will be fast to follow.
After a break in the action Wednesday morning, temperatures will briefly spike into the lower 70s by afternoon, courtesy of a strong southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front. Our attention by this time will shift to the west as an expanding area of rain and thunderstorms approaches for Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. Side note: I wouldn’t be surprised if the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) eventually puts at least southern portions of the state in a risk of severe weather Wednesday (focused on evening into the nighttime hours). We’ll monitor that moving forward.
The front will quickly sweep through the state Thursday morning, allowing temperatures to fall through the day Thursday. In fact, temperatures will likely once again grow cold enough to allow wrap around rain to begin mixing with snow Thursday evening. Friday will likely feature scattered snow showers with temperatures struggling to make it out of the 30s for highs. Additional hard freezes are on deck next weekend (20s at night).
The pattern beyond next weekend continues to look colder than normal into the 10-15 day period. As long as that NAO remains negative, we won’t get excited for “stick and hold” spring conditions anytime soon…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/26/strong-storm-potential-midweek-cold-wintry-conditions-reinforce-themselves-next-weekend/
Mar 25
Updated 03.25.22 @ 7:40a Rain will mix with and change to snow after sunset with widespread snow showers and embedded squalls taking up residence across the area Saturday morning. A…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/25/still-some-winter-left-in-the-tank/