Updated 04.20.23 @ 8:04a
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Apr 20
Updated 04.20.23 @ 8:04a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/20/video-timing-out-rain-and-storms-to-close-the-week-chilly-pattern-to-close-out-april/
Apr 19
Updated 04.19.23 @ 7:49a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/19/video-tracking-2-rounds-of-more-widespread-rain-heading-into-the-weekend/
Apr 18
Updated 04.18.23 @ 7:15p
Today’s guidance is starting to hone in on the most likely scenario as we close out the work week and head into the weekend. After a couple days of what sure seemed like “far fetched” solutions being printed out by the GFS, it’s trended much closer towards what the European was showing this morning. The model is actually more like a “blend” of the two ideas from this morning.
We continue to believe the initial wave of moisture will arrive Thursday evening (after a very warm and dry day). This will then be followed by a second surge of moisture Friday night into Saturday morning (lasting into Saturday afternoon across eastern Indiana). This second wave of precipitation will likely be more widespread and heavier for the eastern half of the state during the aforementioned time frame. As colder air gets pulled into the region, wrap-around precipitation will mix with wet snow (yet again) Saturday night into Sunday morning. High pressure should then build overhead allowing for the coldest air to settle in Sunday night and Monday morning (potentially with a repeat Tuesday morning depending on the timing of our next system). If skies clear as anticipated, the potential remains for overnight lows to dip into the upper 20s.
As mentioned above, forecast models are now in much better agreement regarding rainfall placement and amounts (heaviest across central and eastern IN) with this event.
We’ll see if these trends hold firm overnight and be sure to cover this (and more) in our Client video discussion Wednesday morning!
Make it a relaxing evening!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/18/note-on-late-week/
Apr 18
Updated 04.18.23 @ 7:33a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/18/video-brief-warm-up-on-the-way-unsettled-close-to-the-week-and-a-cooler-than-normal-close-to-april-open-to-may/
Apr 17
Updated 04.17.23 @ 7:45a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/17/video-ugly-open-to-the-work-week-ahead-of-a-brief-spike-in-temperatures-more-pleasant-weather-hard-freeze-threat-early-next-week/
Apr 16
Updated 04.16.23 @ 8:01a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/16/video-rain-changes-to-snow-to-open-up-the-week-hard-freeze-threat-on-the-table-early-next-week/
Apr 15
Updated 04.15.23 @ 8:56a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/15/video-gorgeous-saturday-ahead-of-an-unsettled-open-to-the-new-week-chilly-close-to-april-on-deck/
Apr 14
Updated 04.14.23 @ 7:55a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/14/video-half-and-half-weekend-couple-systems-to-track-next-week/
Apr 13
Updated 04.13.23 @ 8p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/13/video-weekend-severe-threat-long-range-outlook-into-may/
Apr 13
Updated 04.13.23 @ 6a
I. We’ve got one more boring wx day on our hands before conditions slowly begin to turn more active as we head into the weekend. Short-term, high resolution data suggests a couple scattered showers or storms are possible Friday afternoon and evening. While the best forcing will remain to our south and east, we may be able to crank out a couple downpours as moisture levels increase through the PM. This certainly isn’t anything to cancel plans over, but just prepare for a passing downpour in spots.
II. Better chances of more organized rain and thunder will arrive Saturday evening into Sunday morning. While this still doesn’t appear to be a particularly heavy event for most of the region, guidance continues to trend wetter with this system. What all week looked like a 0.10” to 0.25” type situation now very well may end up in the 0.50” to 1” range. Not terrible for a region running drier than average month to date.
III. As colder air sweeps in behind the system, rain will mix with wet snow across northern parts of the state as we open the new week. The rest of us can expect a couple days (Monday and Tuesday) with highs in the mid to upper 50s and lows in the mid to upper 30s.
IV. The early portion of the work week will feature a return of dry weather but it’s safe to say next week won’t be nearly as uneventful as a whole. We’re tracking a midweek system that will deliver a few showers Wednesday and a more organized storm system that should provide a better coverage of rain and embedded thunder to close the work week. More on all of this and a long range look ahead in tonight’s Client video discussion!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/13/thursday-morning-rambles-more-exciting-weather-creeps-back-in/