April 2022 archive

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/30/video-latest-thoughts-on-this-evening-looking-ahead-to-a-busy-open-to-may/

Apr 30

Saturday Opens Quiet; Ends Stormy…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Spring, T-storms, Tornadoes, Windy

• April 30, 2022

Updated 04.30.22 @ 5:30a

Our Saturday will open on a calm, quiet note, but changes are brewing…

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continues to include the western half of the state in a Slight Risk of severe weather (including Indianapolis).

We focus in on the mid to late afternoon hours for storm initialization- specifically around 3p to 4p into the city, itself. This will likely only be the first of multiple rounds of storms into the nighttime hours. In fact, strongest storms likely won’t impact the region until after sunset, continuing up until around midnight.

Damaging wind is the biggest concern with stronger storms, but a few cells could contain hail and we can’t completely rule out the chance of a quick spin up.

Locally heavy rain is also expected, especially where storms train over the same communities. Most communities in and around Indianapolis can expect to pick up at least an inch of rain, with some closing in on 2”.

The good news is that all of this will clear out of here for the 2nd half of the weekend leading to a much more pleasant time of things Sunday.

More on this and looking ahead to the 1st half of May a bit later today!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/30/saturday-opens-quiet-ends-stormy/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/29/video-tracking-the-potential-of-strong-severe-thunderstorms-saturday-evening-active-weather-pattern-continues-next-week/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/28/video-wet-pattern-develops-to-close-april-and-open-may/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/27/video-eyeing-a-return-of-busier-times/

Apr 26

Blocky Pattern Leads To Drier, Cooler Stretch; Looking Ahead To A Return Of Active Times…

• Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Client, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Spring, T-storms, Weather Rambles

• April 26, 2022

Updated 04.26.22 @ 5:30a

Now that our cold front is to our east, it’s time to look ahead to the next weather maker. Headlines over the next 48 hours will come from patchy frost potential (or “widespread” if north of the city, itself).

Weak systems will try and push into the Ohio Valley over the next 72 hours but most, if not all, of these systems should run into a drier, more stable airmass, locally and a rather significant weakening of any sort of organized areas of rain.

There will be times of mostly cloudy conditions and light shower chances midweek but most, if not all, of any sort of “organized” rain chances will hold off until the weekend. What at times will look like appreciable rain heading in our direction will diminish in significant fashion as it pushes east into the region. The blocking pattern will breakdown and allow more organized rain and storm chances to enter the picture from the west this weekend.

Rain and storm chances should increase in earnest Saturday night into Sunday morning, including the potential of locally heavy downpours.

Another storm system awaits on deck for a Sunday evening and Monday morning arrival…

More on this and more in this evening’s client video update.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/26/blocky-pattern-leads-to-drier-cooler-stretch-looking-ahead-to-a-return-of-active-times/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/25/video-rain-moves-out-as-chilly-temperatures-return-warmer-conditions-arrive-by-the-weekend/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/24/video-quiet-start-to-the-day-gives-way-to-evening-rumbles-pattern-heading-in-the-right-direction-for-more-persistent-warmth-as-we-move-beyond-the-1st-week-of-may/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/23/video-taste-of-summer-ahead-of-sunday-evening-storms/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/22/video-gorgeous-weekend-long-range-update-into-mid-may/