November 2021 archive

VIDEO: Tracking 2 Systems To Close Out The Week…

Updated 11.30.21 @ 6:20a

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VIDEO: December Set To Open On A Quiet, Warmer Than Normal Note…

Updated 11.29.21 @ 7:30a

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Long Range Rambles On Iron Bowl Saturday…

Updated 11.27.21 @ 5:56a

The theme of the better part of the autumn season has been a story of contradicting signals- teleconnections and MJO alike. When we look ahead to the beginning of meteorological winter (Dec. 1st), it sure appears that will continue to be the story. For a brief moment the East Pacific Oscillation (EPO) tries to go negative. This is interesting in and of itself as only a couple days ago the EPO was forecast positive during this period.

Meanwhile, the PNA is forecast negative to open the month.

The “wildcard” in this entire December outcome has to do with the MJO. If (still a big if) we can get things to amplify, then a whip around the historically December cold phases (7, 8, and 1) appear in order.

If the MJO doesn’t get in the game, the pattern, at best, will be one of continued transition (colder and warmer than normal periods) and that’s what the majority of ensemble guidance currently shows. Without a favorable MJO, it’s tough to see how meaningful, more sustained arctic air can get into the mix, locally.

As far as storm systems of note, we’re in an incredibly quiet period and that looks to continue through the upcoming 5-6 days. We’ll keep eyes to our north where weak systems will zip by in the fast flow aloft, but most, if not all, of these should remain to our north and east. It’s not until early next weekend (looks like Friday or early Saturday as of now) when our next system of more significance is slated to impact the area.

War Eagle and happy Iron Bowl Saturday! 😀

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/11/27/long-range-rambles-on-iron-bowl-saturday/

Rain Moves Out; Much Colder Air Arrives…

Updated 11.25.21 @ 6:53a

Our Thanksgiving morning is off to a wet start but the rain won’t last all day. A cold front will push across the state this afternoon (arriving into Indianapolis around noon) putting an end to the rain and allowing much colder air to blow in. Before that takes place, anywhere from 0.25” – 0.50” of rain is expected through the morning hours.

The airmass will grow cold enough by evening to allow snow showers and squalls to fire up off Lake Michigan and track into north and east central parts of the state (not expecting any significant accumulation).

Black Friday will feature a return of dry and sunny conditions but it’ll be cold. A gusty northwest wind will mean you’ll want to grab the heavier coat out the door as temperatures that start out in the lower 20s won’t rise out of the 30s Friday afternoon.

The upcoming week will showcase a series of storm systems zipping by across the northern tier but most, if not all, of those systems will remain north of our immediate area. A generally quiet week of weather is forecast for now, once we get the upcoming 12-24 hours behind us.

From our family to yours, have a safe, happy, and blessed Thanksgiving.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/11/25/rain-moves-out-much-colder-air-arrives/

Long Range Update Looking At The 1st Half Of December…

Updated 11.24.21 @ 5:52p

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/11/24/long-range-update-looking-at-the-1st-half-of-december/

VIDEO: Thanksgiving Cold Front And A Look At The Long Holiday Weekend…

Updated 11.24.21 @ 7:21a

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VIDEO: Chill Reinforces Itself Thanksgiving; Timing Out Wind And Rain As The Holiday Nears…

Updated 11.23.21 @ 7:10a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/11/23/video-chill-reinforces-itself-thanksgiving-timing-out-wind-and-rain-as-the-holiday-nears/

VIDEO: Cold Close To The Month; Another Shot Of Rain Arrives Early Thanksgiving Day…

Updated 11.22.21 @ 6:58a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/11/22/video-cold-close-to-the-month-another-shot-of-rain-arrives-early-thanksgiving-day/

VIDEO: Tracking 2 Storm Systems For Thanksgiving Week…

Updated 11.21.21 @ 8:41a

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VIDEO: Long Winded Saturday Morning Rambles…

Updated 11.20.21 @ 8a

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