September 2018 archive

Florence Brings Devastating Flooding To The Carolinas; Extended Dry & Warm Stretch Here…

Florence made landfall around 7:15 this morning near Wrightsville Beach, NC.  Within the past 30 minutes, a wind gust was reported to 105 MPH in Wilmington, NC.

Florence will crawl through the Carolinas this weekend and spread devastating flooding well inland- 20″ to 30″. Even the high ground of the North Carolina Blue Ridge will experience severe flooding Sunday into Monday- 6″ to 12″.  These are forecast radar totals shown now through 2p Sunday.  The Blue Ridge will see heavy rain continue into Monday evening.

Back here on the home front, expect an extended stretch of dry and warm weather.  Plentiful sunshine can be expected as we head into the weekend along with a warming trend- mid 80s and lows in the mid to upper 60s.  High pressure will remain in firm control.

The next item of excitement for our region will be from a cold front late next week.  This will help increase shower and thunderstorm chances along with delivering cooler air next weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/14/florence-brings-devastating-flooding-to-the-carolinas-extended-dry-warm-stretch-here/

All Eyes On Florence; Generally Quiet Here…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/13/all-eyes-on-florence-generally-quiet-here/

Quiet Here; Attention On Florence

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/11/quiet-here-attention-on-florence/

Improving Weather This Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/10/improving-weather-this-week/

Looking At The Week Ahead…

Rainfall of significance is over, and thankfully so.  Many area rainfall totals checked in between 4″ and 7″ and while significant, the overall forward motion of Gordon’s remnants moved much quicker than forecast guidance suggested, ultimately limiting flooding issues from being even worse.

Today we’re left will overcast skies, patchy drizzle at times, gusty winds, and MUCH cooler air.  In fact, the majority of our Sunday will be spent in the 50s.  In case you’re wondering, November 1st is the “average” first day with a high in the 50s- 59° to be exact.

Patchy drizzle is possible through the day, but significant rainfall is over.

Temperatures will remain steady in the upper 50s for the majority of the day.

High pressure will return to open the work week.  We’ll still likely deal with more clouds than sun on Monday, but as high pressure builds directly overhead Tuesday, more in the way of sunshine will return.  Temperatures will be very pleasant through the first half of the work week- lows in the 50s and highs in the 70s.

All eyes will shift to Florence by midweek.  She’ll likely go through a period of significant strengthening on her journey closer to the southeast US coast with a potential landfall along the Carolina coastline Thursday.  There’s still time to watch things unfold, but confidence is increasing on a potential major hurricane making landfall later this week.

Unfortunately, the upper air pattern and lack of a steering current would lead to Florence either stalling out or “meandering” around the mid-Atlantic region for potentially several days…

Meanwhile, back here on the home front, our fall-like early week feel will transition to warmer times as we move into late week and next weekend.  Highs in the mid 80s will return with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/09/looking-at-the-week-ahead-2/

Excessive Rainfall Rates Develop Tonight; Dangerous Flooding Event Evolves…

Steady rain through the majority of the day will turn heavier this evening into the overnight, directly associated with Gordon’s remnants. Excessive rainfall rates (2″ per hour at times along…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/08/excessive-rainfall-rates-develop-tonight-dangerous-flooding-event-evolves/

Serious Flooding Event To Unfold…

Touching base briefly this evening on a significant and serious flood situation that will unfold over the weekend:

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/07/serious-flooding-event-to-unfold/

VIDEO: Serious Flooding Event Setting Up For Some…

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Long Stretch Of Wet Weather Ahead…

I. Slow-moving showers and thunderstorms will begin to dissipate this evening and tonight with the loss of daytime heating.  Some area rain gauges have already picked up between 0.50″ and 1″ of rain this afternoon and this will only serve to lay the ground work for further problems moving forward.

II. A growing shield of rain will engulf northern and central parts of the state Friday afternoon.  Initially, this will mostly be of the light to, at times, moderate variety.  Additionally, we’ll notice an increasingly stiff easterly flow as the afternoon and evening wear on.  Temperatures will fall from a high in the middle 70s into the 60s late Friday afternoon and evening.

III. A frontal boundary will remain draped across central parts of the state Saturday while the remnant circulation of what once was Tropical Storm Gordon pushes closer.  As such, rainfall intensity will increase as we move through the day Saturday- particularly by evening into the overnight, on into Sunday morning.  Periods of heavy rain can be expected during this time frame.  Rainfall rates will begin to diminish Sunday PM before moisture exits stage right Sunday evening.

By the time all is said and done, widespread 3″ to 5″ rainfall totals can be expected through the heart of the state, including Indianapolis, but there will be locally heavier totals upwards of 6″ to 7″ in spots.  Flooding, unfortunately, will result.  If you live near water ways please ensure to keep close tabs on water levels and expect rapid rises Saturday into Sunday.  Have a plan in place to escape to higher ground.

IV. After a week of excessive heat and humidity, the coming cooler regime will be welcome by most.  Temperatures most of Saturday and Sunday will remain in the 60s.  At times, “wind chills” (haven’t used that term in a while) will fall into the 50s.

Warmer times will return late next week as ridging re-establishes itself.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/06/long-stretch-of-wet-weather-ahead/

VIDEO: Cool And Blustery Weekend; Flooding Rains For Some…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/06/video-cool-and-blustery-weekend-flooding-rains-for-some/

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