September 2015 archive

Sep 30

Times, They Are A Changing…

Screen Shot 2015-09-30 at 7.14.53 AMHighlights:

  • Much cooler and breezy for mid week
  • Windy, chilly, and wet end to the week
  • Drier early next week

A complicated series of events will lead to a memorable week/ weekend of weather along the eastern seaboard.  Between the cold front that moved through here last night, Joaquin (well on it’s way to becoming a hurricane this morning), and energy that moved out of the Gulf of Mexico, the eastern seaboard is in for a major flood event, and long duration wind/ beach erosion event.

Before we discuss potential impacts closer to home, let’s talk the short term.  Showers will continue to push south this morning and a dry, breezy, and cooler day is coming.  Thursday will be breezy and cool, but dry also.

It’s when we get to the weekend that things begin to shift.  We know windy and chilly conditions are a given this weekend (you can take that to the bank).  We caution that much fine tuning will be required as we progress through the next couple days in regards to rainfall.  Here’s our best stab as of this morning.

1.) Showers pinwheel west Friday afternoon and evening as east winds strengthen- gusts 25-30 MPH.

2.) Steadier rains fall Saturday and Sunday with east and northeast winds gusting to 30-40 MPH.

3.) Steady rains diminish and give way to scattered showers Monday before we’re back to dry weather Tuesday.  Winds also begin to diminish during this period, but gusts to 20-30 MPH are still possible Monday out of the north.

Stay tuned, as the rainfall forecast is still up for much debate and will have to be fine tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/30/times-they-are-a-changing/

Sep 29

Windy And MUCH Cooler; What About Rain Chances?

All eyes remain focused on Joaquin this evening and the eventual impacts dealt to the eastern seaboard, and, at least indirectly, back into the Ohio Valley.  Latest satellite imagery this…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/29/windy-and-much-cooler-what-about-rain-chances/

Sep 29

Rain Today; Windy And Much Cooler Times Ahead…

Screen Shot 2015-09-29 at 7.04.40 AMHighlights:

  • Rainy weather today
  • Much cooler conditions coming
  • Prolonged stretch of strong winds

The region will be under a squeeze play of sorts today as tropical moisture continues to lift north from the Gulf Coast and a cold front approaches from the northwest.  The end result will be for an expanding shield of rain to encompass a large portion of central IN as the day progresses.  Heaviest rainfall is still expected downstate, but there will also be some localized heavier totals across central IN, as well.  This, of course, is much needed.

The cold front will pass tonight and shut off any threat of rain.  The big story will become the much cooler air mass settling into the region for the foreseeable future.  Additionally, factor in the goings on along the eastern seaboard with an area of high pressure building in from the north and very windy conditions can be expected as we move through late week into the weekend.  Strong and gusty northeast winds will be very persistent, with gusts up to 30 MPH at times.

We’ll continue to keep close tabs along the happenings along the eastern seaboard late in the period.  As of now we think high pressure should keep us dry and cool, but stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/29/rain-today-windy-and-much-cooler-times-ahead/

Sep 28

CFSv2 Catching On?

Just a quick post to highlight the recent trend from the CFSv2. Note as we’ve progressed through the past couple weeks the model has been shifting the mean ridge position…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/28/cfsv2-catching-on/

Sep 28

Weekly Highlights: Tropical Weather Headlines…

Highlights928104There’s a whole slew of new products we’re going to start rolling out over the next several weeks, including more videos, as well.  One of the new features is a nationwide weekly highlight map, helping showcase the big-ticket weather items that have our attention over the upcoming week.  While we could side with going with fancy graphics, we chose to go the route of a hand drawn map for old time sakes.  🙂 This will be posted on Sunday or Monday of each week.

1.) A cold front will move through the Mid West and Ohio Valley during the early to middle portion of the work week and be responsible for putting a temporary delay in #harvest15.  While rainfall won’t be particularly heavy, it’ll help to serve up a fresh chill to the air as we progress from mid to late week.  A significant temperature reversal can be expected from 10-15 degrees above normal to 10 degrees below normal from early week to late week.

2.)  A tropical disturbance is plaguing the Gulf Coastal waters with rough surf, gusty winds, and heavy rain to open the week.  As this disturbance moves northeast, heavy rains will encompass a large portion of the southeast, as well as southern and central Appalachians, on up the eastern seaboard.

3.)  Perhaps of more importance is the way things evolve over the coming couple days with TD 11 and the overall weather pattern off the eastern seaboard.  If you live along the East Coast, you’ll want to pay particularly close attention to the goings on.  At the very least, an impactful system is ahead from a heavy rain and erosion perspective, but there’s also the potential of something more severe from a purely tropical stand point.

4.)  An area of low pressure will drop south along the Front Range late in the period and offer up beneficial moisture to not only the Front Range, but the central Plains.

As always, you can follow us on Twitter (@indywx) or e-mail us at bill@indywx.com for more on the variety of weather consulting we provide.  Have a great day and God Bless!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/28/weekly-highlights-tropical-weather-headlines/

Sep 28

Warm Start To The Week, But Cool Changes Coming…

Screen Shot 2015-09-28 at 8.52.01 AMHighlights:

  • Increasing clouds
  • Shower chances go up tonight
  • Much cooler air coming

The work week has gotten off to a pleasant and dry start with sunshine across central IN.  That said, a quick look at the satellite shows clouds and moisture streaming north.  Expect increasingly cloudy skies as we progress through the second half of the day with showers developing tonight.  The region will be in a “squeeze play” of sorts Tuesday as a cold front from the northwest and tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico collide.  The end result will be locally heavy rainfall downstate with numerous showers extending north into central Indiana, as well.

The cold front will sweep through the region Tuesday night and help usher in a much cooler air mass for the rest of the week, continuing into the weekend.  Sweaters and jackets will be needed this weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Central Indiana Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.30″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/28/warm-start-to-the-week-but-cool-changes-coming/

Sep 26

Post From The Road…

We’re en route back from a phenomenal family vacation along the world’s most beautiful beaches along the Florida panhandle. This was my view for the past week.    Too bad…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/26/post-from-the-road/

Sep 24

Clouding Up; Saturday Showers Arrive…

Screen Shot 2015-09-24 at 10.23.01 PMHighlights:

  • Clouds increase to wrap up the work week
  • Tropical connection courtesy of the Atlantic this weekend
  • Midweek cold front

An area of low pressure is slowly tracking north along the SC coast Thursday evening.  A surge of tropical moisture will retrograde (that’s for you, Rick ;-)) northwest and result in “showery” weather around these parts to open the weekend.  We’re not talking a lot of rain, but expect periodic wet times for central and southern portions of the state Saturday.  We’ll maintain mention of a shower Sunday, but Sunday will be the drier of the two days.

We’re back to “high and dry” early next week, but a weak frontal boundary will move through here late Wednesday with a broken band of showers.  Not everyone will see rain Wednesday.  Slightly cooler air will arrive late next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.30″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/24/clouding-up-saturday-showers-arrive/

Sep 22

Looking Back At Summer And Ahead…

Meteorological fall began September 1st, but astronomical fall begins tomorrow.  When we look back at summer, we note that it was a cool, wet summer with bookend dry periods. June…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/22/looking-back-at-summer-and-ahead/

Sep 21

Warm And Mostly Dry Forecast…

Screen Shot 2015-09-21 at 5.27.39 PMHighlights:

  • Dry conditions continues
  • Temperatures warm
  • Weak front Saturday

It’s a very boring forecast as high pressure remains in control through the short-term.  This will continue to promote dry conditions.  Moderating temperatures can also be expected as our air flow backs around to the SW with time.

The only item of significance in this 7-day is a weak frontal boundary that will move through here with scattered showers Saturday.  Slightly cooler air will push in behind the boundary, but it’s an overall very warm pattern.

Upcoming 7-day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/21/warm-and-mostly-dry-forecast/

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