March 2015 archive

Beautiful Weather!

Screen Shot 2015-03-15 at 8.58.50 AMSun-filled Couple Days…We’re in position for an absolutely beautiful couple days- complete with lots of sunshine and above normal temperatures!  After the frosty start to the morning, temperatures will zoom into the lower 60s this afternoon.  We’ll beat that Monday with a push for 70!  Enjoy, my friends!

A dry cold front will sweep through the region Monday night and set up a colder mid week period.

A weak weather system may deliver light rain to the region Thursday.  We’re not buying the snowy European model solution Thursday for now.

As we move into next weekend, modeling couldn’t disagree more on the outcome.  Some solutions are very cold while others are warm.  For now we’ll split the difference, leaning a little more towards the cold solution as the trough should strengthen next weekend over the Ohio Valley.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/15/beautiful-weather/

Rain Gear Needed; Push For 70° Next Week!

Good morning and happy Friday! A wet day is on tap as moisture streams north from the Gulf of Mexico. Periods of heavy rain will be a good bet, especially…

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Wet Friday Coming…

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Beautiful Day Before More Rain…

Screen Shot 2015-03-12 at 7.39.09 AMGreat Day Today…Patchy dense fog will give way to sunshine quickly today along with mild temperatures!  Be sure to enjoy as clouds will lower and thicken tonight and give way to a soaker of a Friday.  We anticipate a wash out Friday, complete with heavy rain from late morning into the afternoon and evening.  We may even hear a rumble of thunder Friday evening.  The good news here is that models are trending drier for now Saturday.  We’ll mention morning rain, but sunshine should increase through the second half of the day.  Sunday will be a fantastic day!

A cold front will move through the region Tuesday and could offer up a shower, but most folks should remain dry.  Cooler air will filter in here behind the front, but nothing too out of the ordinary for this time of year.

We target later next week for potentially much colder air…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.00″ – 1.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/12/beautiful-day-before-more-rain/

3/11/15 Ag Weather Report

After a dry mid week stretch, a Gulf low will transport copious amounts of moisture into the southern Mid West region Friday into Saturday.  This will target MO and IL into the Ohio Valley.  Locally heavy rainfall can be expected, including amounts up to 2-3″ across southern portions of the aforementioned areas.

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The upcoming 7-10 days will feature two additional storms impact the area, including storm number 3 potentially providing wintry precipitation to northern regions as colder air gets back involved with the pattern.  No reasons for specifics now, but make a mental note that the pattern will be trending colder in the coming 7-10 day period.

A cold front will deliver light precipitation (rain and snow) to northern regions Monday into Tuesday.

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Another, stronger, storm system is due to impact the Mid West next weekend.

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Despite the spring “fling” we’ve enjoyed the past couple of days, the pattern is expected to reverse and deliver a return of the cold around, and after, the 20th.

Note the warmer than average conditions continuing tomorrow.  Get outside and enjoy!

WarmthModels see the cold returning later next week as troughiness returns.

cold

TroughThe CFSv2 weeklies see the reversal coming to a colder than normal pattern, as well.

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No one should be surprised by the return of the cold pattern.  Here’s a look at the median date of the last 32 degree temperature across the region.

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Let’s keep a close eye on the Arctic Oscillation (AO) in the coming days.  Should it remain negative then the cold pattern may rumble well into April.  After a sharp decline mid month, members vary thereafter.  We’ll watch carefully.

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The latest drought monitor shows abnormally dry conditions across MN, southern WI, southwestern MO, and northern KY.  Upcoming 7 day precipitation will help out southern growing areas, but the northern regions remain relatively quiet.

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Great Lakes ice coverage remains impressive, to say the least, for mid March at 69% total ice coverage- a byproduct of yet another frigid winter.

glsea_curSimilar to last summer, the abnormal GL ice may help aid in another cooler than normal spring-summer period.

Speaking of the longer range, the latest JAMSTEC shows widespread cool and wet conditions over the Lower 48 for the March, April, and May period.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/11/31115-ag-weather-report/

Brighter Days Ahead And Spring-Like Air!

Screen Shot 2015-03-11 at 8.00.17 AM
Much Needed Vitamin D…After a cloudy, rainy, and gloomy Tuesday, we’ll welcome the sunshine with open arms today and Thursday.  Before we talk about the brighter times ahead, beware of areas of dense fog remaining in place through about the lunch hour.  The combination of a wet ground and overnight clearing led to rather widespread dense fog across the region.  Eventually, the high March sun angle should lead to increasing sunshine as we progress through the day Wednesday.  Thursday will feature lots of sunshine.  Both days will be unseasonably mild, though today’s high will be largely dependent on just how soon we clear things out.

Another slug of Gulf of Mexico moisture will move north and impact the region to wrap up the work week.  Widespread significant rainfall is a good bet Friday into the first half of Saturday.

The weekend won’t be a total washout as sunshine returns Sunday.  Temperatures will remain mild!

Another push of resurgent warmth can be expected Monday as highs zoom into the lower 60s with a southwest flow in place before a dry cold front passes through here Monday night/ Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.00″ – 1.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/10/brighter-days-ahead-and-spring-like-air/

Spring Fling!

A true taste of spring weather is on the way for the middle of the week as highs zoom to around 60° (give or take a few degrees) for many.…

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Milder Air And Rain…

Forecast models are coming around to a more aggressive, wetter, solution for Tuesday. As such, we’ll hit the rain a little harder in our forecast. Anticipate a wet afternoon, especially…

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Relatively Quiet Week Until Late In The Period…

Screen Shot 2015-03-08 at 9.18.35 AMMostly Quiet Weather For Now…A weak weather system will once again scoot by to our north later today. While this may increase our cloud cover this afternoon and evening, most, if not all, of the precipitation should remain north of our immediate region.  Best chances of seeing a light shower later today will be across the northern third of the state.  We’re back to sunshine Monday!

The first of two weather systems will impact the state Tuesday.  We’ll introduce the chance of a shower across central Indiana, but most of the area will be dry.  More widespread rains will fall across southern and southeastern portions of the state.

The story for mid week remains the delightful weather conditions- dry, sunny, and mild!  We’ll gladly welcome 55-60 temperatures Wednesday and Thursday!

A significant storm system will lift north out of the Gulf of Mexico late week and deliver widespread moderate to heavy rains Friday into Saturday.  Heavy rain is likely to close the week, but model data differs on just how fast the rain will diminish as we move into the weekend.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.00″ – 1.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/08/relatively-quiet-week-until-late-in-the-period/

Touching Base On A Saturday Afternoon…

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