March 18, 2015 archive

3/18/15 Ag Weather Report

A weak weather maker will impact Indiana and the Ohio Valley Thursday, especially during the afternoon into the overnight. Precipitation will be relatively light with most amounts around one tenth of an inch, or less.  Note the light precipitation moving through the region Thursday with time stamps below of 7p Thursday and 1a Friday.  Wet snow will mix in with the rain over northeastern IN tomorrow night.

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A more active week is ahead, with a couple storm systems to track.  Note forecast precipitation amounts increase from week 1 to week 2.

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Heaviest rains target the lower Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley week 1 before shifting north week 2.  The heavy precipitation axis points a finger from OK and AR through MO and IL, northern IN, and MI week 2.

Some of this heavier rain is just what the Doctor ordered for areas beginning to reflect abnormally dry conditions and/ or drought.

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20150310_midwest_noneWe track a weak, but cold system early next week that could deliver a touch of light wet snow Monday.  The GFS led the way on this, but the European and Canadian have jumped on board with today’s runs.

Monday

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Another (stronger) storm system is in the offing later next week.  This should be the one that delivers heavy rains from the mid south on northeast.

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Looking ahead towards late month into early April, temperatures will reflect the normal “roller coaster” regime for this time of year; however biased colder than normal.  Note the excellent model consensus on the colder than average regime.

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Clouds Slowly On The Increase…

Screen Shot 2015-03-18 at 9.34.52 AMClouds Increase; Light Rain Thursday…The day is off to a much colder start, but also a sunny one.  Mid and high level cloudiness will slowly be on the increase as we progress through the day and these clouds will give way to some light rain Thursday.  The culprit?  An area of low pressure passing to our south.  Enough cold air will be in place to create a transition to some wet snow across northeastern portions of the state late Thursday night into early Friday morning.

The area will enjoy a southwesterly air flow and associated milder air mass for the first part of the weekend, but a cold front will pass Saturday night and usher in a colder Sunday.

A fast moving storm system will scoot through central Indiana Monday and team up with the colder air in place to lead to a mixture of cold rain and wet snow.  Precipitation amounts will be light with this system.  We’re back to a dry, chilly theme Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Trace
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″-0.25″

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