Severe Threat Later Tonight, But Some Questions Linger…

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk of severe weather that includes central Indiana, primarily for potential thunderstorms late today and tonight.

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Primary Threats:

  • Large hail
  • Damaging straight line winds

Discussion:

There are a few questions regarding the potential of severe weather across our immediate region.  It’s unclear how leftover outflow boundaries from thunderstorms during the overnight will interact as they push east.  That said, it’s possible these boundaries could help ignite a couple of clusters of thunderstorms across Iowa and Illinois later this afternoon.  This activity would then ride southeast.  Should we get storms to fire, they would likely hold together as they approach western and central Indiana.  CAPE will reach 2000-2200 J/kg this evening and low level moisture will be on the uptick, as well.  We’ll have an updated post this afternoon after we have a chance to see if convection (thunderstorms) fires to our west.

Enjoy your Saturday morning!

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