March 2014 archive

Mar 31

Beautiful Open To The Work Week…

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Forecast Updated 03.31.14 @ 7:56a

Beauty Of An Open To The Work Week. . .A sun-filled Monday is ahead until clouds begin to increase later this evening with the approach of a weak cold front.  This front will deliver a couple of scattered showers late tonight into the wee morning hours Tuesday. We’ll then get back to sunshine late morning/ early afternoon Tuesday.  Average highs are at 59 degrees for Indianapolis now, so both today and Tuesday will be milder than average.

As we head into Tuesday evening, clouds will quickly increase yet again along with a chance of showers going into Tuesday night, especially north of the city.  Two day rainfall amounts will be light and average less than one tenth of an inch across central Indiana.

Heavier Rain. . .We still think Wednesday through Friday will be very wet and stormy at times.  Periods of moderate to heavy rain can be expected Wednesday and Thursday.  We’ll then introduce thunderstorms into our forecast Friday (some of which may reach strong to severe levels) as a cold front swings through the region.  Three day rainfall totals of 1.5″ to 2″ will be common across the region.

Drier, Colder Weekend. . .Some wrap around snow flurries are possible early Saturday, but shouldn’t be a huge deal. Otherwise, gusty northwest winds will combine with a partly cloudy sky by afternoon to combine to produce a chilly Saturday. Temperatures moderate Sunday with continued dry weather.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/31/beautiful-open-to-the-work-week/

Mar 30

Now This Is More Like It…

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Forecast Updated 03.30.14 @ 9:24a

A Nice Close To The Weekend. . .After a cold, wet, and snowy Saturday, it’ll be nice to have a full day of sunshine as we put a wrap on the weekend.  While we’re getting off to a cold and frosty start, that increasingly powerful late March sun angle will help warm temperatures quickly.

Weak Front. . .A moisture starved front will cross the region late Monday night into early Tuesday.  While a light shower is possible as this front limps through the region, we’re keeping our forecast dry for now.  Regardless, Monday will be a very nice day, despite an increasing southwest breeze.  Tuesday will be equally as nice, just a few degrees cooler.

Big Rains For Mid/ Late Week. . .The Gulf will open up for business in the days ahead and this will keep our neck of the woods rather wet Wednesday through Friday.  Periods of rain will fall Wednesday and Thursday, and temperatures will be cooler thanks to an easterly breeze.  All in all, Wednesday and Thursday will be wet, raw days.  We’ll get into some warmer air ahead of a strong cold front Friday and this will increase thunderstorm chances, including the potential of a  couple strong storms.  We think rainfall totals between Wednesday and Friday could reach between 1.5″ and 2″.

Chilly Weekend. . .A colder air mass will build into the region behind Friday’s front. While sunshine will return Saturday, temperatures will go backwards.  Couple a strong northwest breeze into the mix and Saturday could be a pretty chilly day.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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For weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Big, wet snow flakes were falling fast and furious Saturday morning.  John Salewicz sent in this photo of the heavy snow falling in Zionsville Saturday morning. Thanks, John!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/30/now-this-is-more-like-it/

Mar 28

Heavy Snow For A While Saturday Morning…

We continue to closely monitor the goings on around a late March storm system that promises to provide quite the snow show for some tomorrow morning!  Details can be found…

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Mar 27

Slushy Saturday Snow For Some…

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Forecast Updated 03.28.14 @ 7:57a

Early Rain. . .Some lingering showers will be possible early this morning, but the majority of the heavier rain and thunderstorms are exiting stage right as we kick off the last day of the work week.  We may even note some afternoon clearing, but otherwise think the day will be a mostly cloudy one, along with steady or slowly falling temperatures and a gusty northwest wind.

Tricky Saturday Situation; Better Sunday. . .As fast as one storm system departs, our attention has to turn to the next event.  Rain will overspread the area late tonight into early Saturday morning.  As low pressure moves from the southern TN Valley into the central and eastern parts of KY, colder air will be drawn into the storm along the northern periphery of the precipitation shield.  Additionally, precipitation rates will likely be heavy enough to assist in cooling the column of air just enough to allow for a transition to wet snow across portions of the region during the morning Saturday.

While we’re not expecting major snowfall accumulations, it’s likely some communities (especially north and northeast of IND) see a slushy 1-3″ of snow Saturday morning.  It’ll be a wet snow and will likely fall “fast and furious” for a short time period Saturday morning.  Stay tuned as we continue to fine tune.  Otherwise, look for a rather cloudy, cold, and raw day with precipitation ending from southwest to northeast during the late morning into the early afternoon.

After a very cold start to Sunday, that March sun will get to work and help salvage a pleasant second half of the weekend. In fact, Sunday is looking mostly sunny and much milder at this point.

Weak Front. . .A weak front will swing through here late Monday into early Tuesday morning, but moisture will be lacking with this front and a scattered shower or thundershower is possible Monday night.  That said, most will likely remain dry.

Big, Wet Storm System. . .A significant storm system will organize over the Plains by the middle of next week.  Unlike our early week storm, the Gulf of Mexico will be wide open and help supply copious amounts of moisture.  We target Wednesday and Thursday for heavy rain and thunderstorms (some of which may be strong Thursday).  While it won’t rain the entire time, early ideas place 1-2″ of rain down in the Wednesday-Thursday time period alone.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2.5″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1-3″ 

twicFor weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/27/wet-snow-saturday/

Mar 27

Covering Gusty Storms Tonight And Saturday Snow…

Busy times in the forecast office continues.  We are eyeing potentially noisy thunderstorms later tonight and the threat of wet accumulating snow for portions of the area Saturday.  Details can…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/27/covering-gusty-storms-tonight-and-saturday-snow/

Mar 27

Busy Pattern…

A busy weather pattern will keep us on our toes with two storm systems of note between now and Saturday.

Periods of showers will keep most of today wet.  While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of moderate to heavy showers are possible today.  A quick punch of milder air will arrive this afternoon after a chilly start to the day, combined with a strengthening south wind.  Total rainfall today and tonight should average half an inch, or less.

Highs today will reach the lower 50s, despite the showers.

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Latest simulated radar data shows the potential of a line of thunderstorms moving through here late tonight, directly associated with the cold front.  A strong storm is possible along with gusty winds as the front slides through early Friday morning.

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As if all of this wasn’t enough, another storm system will arrive Saturday.  This system will have a wintry component to it, with the chance of a stripe of wet snow along the northern shield of precipitation.  It’ll require our attention as we move forward.  March storms have been known to have a surprise or two and it’s our job to try and help eliminate any of these surprises.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/27/busy-pattern/

Mar 25

Active Pattern…

Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue.               17/ 40 30/ 50 39/ 52 32/ 39 28/ 56 39/ 62 31/ 49 – –…

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Mar 25

Snow Showers Today; Arctic Cold Continues For Now.

We’re waking up to snow showers and embedded quick-hitting heavier squalls.  The latest HRRR simulated radar shows snow showers continuing through the morning into the early afternoon hours across central Indiana.  A quick coating to less than an inch is possible in spots.

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Even though we’re in to late March and average highs should be in the middle 50s now, temperatures will struggle to reach freezing early this afternoon.  Yes, this is considered officially “ridiculously cold” in IndyWx.com terms :-).

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Lows tonight will dip into the teens for many as we clear things out.  This will be 15 to 20 degrees below normal.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/25/snow-showers-today-arctic-cold-continues-for-now/

Mar 24

Out Of Season Cold…

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Forecast updated 03.24.14 @ 12:00a

Unseasonably Cold And Tracking Snow. . .It sure won’t feel like late March around these parts to kick off the new work week. Instead, we’ll deal with a biting north wind and temperatures more comparable to January.  Needless to say, certainly plan to grab the coat on the way out the door.

As we move into the evening hours clouds will begin to increase and light snow and scattered snow showers will arrive tonight into Tuesday morning.  This won’t be a big deal and we’re still anticipating little, if any, accumulation for most (perhaps up to half an inch in localized spots).  All the same, for a region that’s been brutally cold and snowy for month on end, this probably won’t be a welcome with “arms wide open” type of forecast.

South Winds Deliver Warmer Air. . .A gusty southwest wind will blow milder air north into the region Thursday. Along with the milder air will come moisture and we forecast showers to develop Thursday with a potential thunderstorm Thursday night into Friday morning as a cold front slides through the region.

Nice Weekend. . .Though Saturday will be colder than normal, sunshine should return for the weekend.  Furthermore, we’ll enjoy a southerly flow of air by Sunday which may help temperatures reach close to 60!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Less than 1″

twicFor weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/24/out-of-season-cold/

Mar 22

Where We’ve Been And Where We’re Going…

It was a cold winter across the Lower 48, including Indiana:

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March has followed suite, month-to-date:  Cold continues for the majority of the upcoming week, but we note moderating late week temperatures.

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It’s been dry as of late, but after a snowy winter, the region is doing just fine from a drought perspective.  We note abnormally dry conditions west:

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Latest CFSv2 data points to a wet spring ahead.  We also note the latest European weeklies suggesting a potentially “busy” 1st half of April, including a couple of “bowling ball” systems of note.  With the changing seasons, it’s not unusual to see big spring cut off lows slowly moving through portions of the country.

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Note the GFS (7-day) and Canadian (10-day) precipitation forecast:

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We also are still forecasting light snow Tuesday.  Most of this won’t accumulate with the high sun angle and low snowfall rates, but a brief coating to less than an inch is possible in spots:

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/22/where-weve-been-and-where-were-going/

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