Updated 10.09.13 @ 5:00p
Zionsville, IN Our stretch of beautiful early fall weather will continue as we wrap up the work week and head into the weekend. Latest model runs are looking less and less impressive on rain chances Sunday (very light amounts), but we do have more significant weather to discuss in the longer term…
Thursday through Saturday: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy; upper 40s, middle 70s Thursday and Friday and upper 70s Saturday.
High pressure will remain in firm control of our weather pattern to wrap up the work week and head into another weekend. This means our “uneventful” weather will remain with mostly sunny skies Thursday and Friday, giving way to partly cloudy conditions Saturday. While overnight lows will remain pleasantly cool, daytime highs will continue to moderate, eventually reaching the upper 70s by Saturday.
Sunday: Scattered shower; 0.10″; 58/ 74
Latest model runs continue to look less and less impressive in terms of potential rainfall Sunday. While a broken line of light showers will press their way through the region, we’re certainly not looking at any sort of significant rainfall. Simply put, the moisture return just isn’t that significant ahead of the advancing cold front. Most of your Sunday will remain dry with just a quick scattered shower expected at this point.
Monday: Partly cloudy; 54/ 70
There’s currently a pretty big spread in forecast temperatures to kick off the new work week. Case in point, the European model suggests we’re looking at a dry day with sunshine, helping to push the thermometer into the lower 70s. The GFS says it’ll have “none of that” as it keeps us in the lower 60s with lots of clouds and showers around. For now, we’ll side with more of the European solution, with a mainly dry day and highs reaching the 70 degree mark. Stay tuned.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy; scattered shower; 0.10″; 55/ 72
Our next storm system will advance towards the region by the middle of next week. While we still have to work out timing and track involved with this system, we think southerly winds transport enough low level moisture northward to help spark a scattered shower as early as Tuesday afternoon.
Wednesday: Showers and T-storms; 0.50″, 51/ 62
At this distance, it appears as if the primary energy source (surface low) will track too far north and west of the region to result in significant severe weather, but we’ll still expect showers and thunderstorms to become likely Wednesday, especially directly related to the frontal passage. Model data suggests heaviest rainfall totals fall across northern portions of the state, but with this being a week out, we’ll continue to monitor for any potential shift in the track of the low.
A MUCH colder air mass will pour into the region late next week, resulting in the coldest temperatures so far this fall season…