• Category Archives Summer
  • Wet, Chilly Second Half Of The Weekend…

    We’ve still got time to soak up this superb Saturday weather, but clouds will continue to increase from now through sunset- eventually lowering and thickening tonight.  Temperatures have moderated under the early August sun from the crisp start in the lower 50s for most, but we’re still around 10° below average this afternoon.

    Sunday will feature rather damp and unseasonably cool conditions.  The day will start dry (going to take a little while to moisten up the air mass), but showers will arrive on the scene mid-to-late morning.

    As we progress into the afternoon and evening hours, showers will expand in coverage and intensity to more of a widespread, uniform type rain event.  A good ole-fashioned soaking appears to be in the works Sunday afternoon-evening.

    When you factor in an already established unseasonably cool pattern with our approaching rain event then you have the makings for another early October-like feel Sunday that will feature temperatures struggling to make it out of the 60s for highs.

    By the time the rain comes to an end Monday morning we think most central IN gauges can expect to pick up 0.75″ – 1″ of rain, but there will be locally heavier amounts under any thunderstorm that develops.  Drier weather will return Monday afternoon and continue through the middle of next week.


  • Catching Up On A “Crisp” August Evening…

    One sure would be hard-pressed to find an August evening that is more fall-like than today.  Heck, a check of temperatures even at the 3 o’clock hour across central IN revealed levels more typical of early October.  – Your’s truly isn’t complaining. 😉  As I write this post just before 10p Friday evening, I’m fireside with a temperature in the upper 50s in Whitestown.  Call me crazy, but I’ll take it- even if it is a couple months early!

    All across the Midwest temperatures are running 10° to 15° below normal at the 9p hour.

    As we look ahead, Saturday is certainly the pick of the weekend.  Mixed clouds and sun will be with us for the balance of the day before we turn increasingly overcast late.  While temperatures will remain significantly below normal, it’ll be a very refreshing day and feel more like early-September (mid-upper 70s).

    As mentioned, clouds will increase, lower, and thicken Saturday evening and widespread rain will follow.  This is all in association with our next approaching storm system that promises to result in a rather damp and unseasonably cool second half of the weekend.  Forecast radar timestamps Sunday morning into the afternoon show the overall widespread coverage of rain showers and embedded thunder.  We suggest indoor weekend plans Sunday.

    Unsettled weather will continue into early Monday across the state.  By the time all is said and done, rainfall totals of 1″-1.5″ can be expected, including locally heavier amounts where thunderstorms develop.  Additionally, with the clouds and wet weather Sunday, temperatures will likely remain in the 60s most of the day.

    As we push into the new work week, drier air will regain control of our region and high pressure should provide a stretch of pleasant (unseasonably cool) conditions through midweek.

    Rain and storm chances will increase once again during the second half of next week as our next storm system approaches.  While we’ll moderate back to seasonal levels late-week, data suggests another blast of refreshing air will blow into town next weekend.  It’s far too early to signal “summer over,” but the early blasts of fall-like air do have to “raise an eyebrow” for what autumn may provide the region.  We’re in the camp of believing central IN is in position for earlier than normal frost risks…  Much more on that later.

    Reinforcing cool air establishes itself in the 8-10 day period.

  • This Is August?!


    • Fall-like feel to close the week
    • Weekend shower chances
    • Unseasonably refreshing pattern

    Early October Or Early August?!  A cold front will sweep through the state Friday morning.  A line of showers and embedded thunder will accompany the FROPA (frontal passage) before a dramatic wind shift to the northwest.  Unseasonably cool air will filter into central Indiana Friday afternoon and keep most in the upper 60s (69° is our average high October 5th).  Just remarkable stuff for the first Friday in August…

    A cool, crisp start Saturday will pave way for comfortable afternoon conditions under mixed clouds and sun.  Flipping the page to the second half of the weekend, we’re going to have to hit the rain chance a little harder with this forecast update, including a rather overcast day.  Periodic showers will keep temperatures well below normal.

    Early showers will be with us Monday before a drier air mass builds into the state for the midweek stretch.  Additionally, reinforcing cool air will flow in here Monday night and set the stage for simply gorgeous conditions around these parts next week.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

  • Big Changes Loom…


    • Wet and stormy at times to close the work week
    • Much cooler air ahead
    • Pleasant weekend on deck

    Summer Weather Gives Way To An Early Fall Feel…Seasonably warm and humid conditions will help power widely scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms again Wednesday.  More widespread showers and thunderstorms will arrive Thursday evening into early Friday as a cold front sweeps through the state.  Winds will shift around to the northwest and turn gusty Friday afternoon, helping usher in an unseasonably cool air mass for the first Friday of August.  This cooler regime will remain with us through the weekend.  A quick-moving light shower is possible over the weekend, but most of the area will remain rain-free with mixed clouds and sun.

    Temperatures will remain below seasonal norms early next week (and really throughout the majority of the first half of August) with scattered rain chances returning to our forecast.  Looking beyond the current 7-day period shows our next storm system of significance approaching mid-to-late next week.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall:  0.00″
    • Rainfall:  0.50″ – 1.00″ (locally heavier amounts)

  • Tuesday Morning Rambles: Shower Chances Return Today…

    1.)  2017 continues to fly along.  August features 3.13″ of rain during the month and temperatures that start out with an average high and low of 84°/ 65° and 83°/ 62° to end the month.  Needless to say, temperatures this weekend will feature well below normal conditions that will feel more like it should jumping forward 6 weeks, or so.

    2.)  Moisture returns today and results in scattered shower coverage this afternoon and Wednesday.  Most of both days will remain rain-free, but don’t be surprised by a passing shower at times.

    Scattered showers return this evening across central Indiana.

    3.)  More widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms arrive Thursday afternoon into Friday morning as a strong cold front presses into the state.  Localized heavy rain is possible and rainfall totals of 0.50″-1.00″ can be expected (with locally heavier amounts under stronger storms) between now and Friday.

    4.)  As surface low pressure wraps up over the Great Lakes Friday, it’ll help pull unseasonably cool air south into the state, along with gusty northwest winds.  In fact, temperatures will remain steady or slowly fall as we move through the day Friday.  It sure won’t feel like the first weekend of August as temperatures tumble into the 50s area-wide Saturday morning.

    Temperatures will feel more like late-September this weekend.

  • Even Cooler Next Weekend: Early Taste Of Autumn…

    The weather this weekend has been simply stunning.  We’ve enjoyed unseasonably cool and refreshing air to go along with wall-to-wall sunshine.  If you’re a fan of the unseasonably refreshing conditions, you’re in luck, as another blast of September-like air will arrive next weekend.

    A cold front will sweep through the state Friday morning.  While we’ll handle the specifics from a precipitation perspective in later posts, most widespread showers and thunderstorms appear to arrive Thursday.  A deep trough will take up residence across the Mid West and East next weekend and result in temperatures more like late-September that early-August.

    Look for fairly steady or slowly falling temperatures Friday afternoon (how often can we say that in early August?!) along with a gusty northwest breeze.  That will set the tone for the weekend that will include low temperatures in the lower to middle 50s and highs in the middle 70s.  Unlike this weekend, we’ll have a few more clouds and the threat of a passing shower with enough upper level energy around.

    Much more later!  Enjoy your Sunday, friends!

  • JMA Weeklies: Hottest Of The Summer Is Behind Us…

    The new JMA Weeklies are in and highlighted by the following:

    • An unseasonably cool close to July
    • Worst of the summer heat is behind us
    • Warmest anomalies along the East and West Coasts

    Week 1:

    A trough will sink into the central and eastern portions of the country and result in rather widespread below normal and quite refreshing conditions as we close the month of July.  Along with the cool, dry air will come an extended stretch of rain-free conditions through the latter portions of next week.

    Week 2:

    The JMA suggests the mean trough position will remain across the central portions of the country with signals of ridging developing along the Northwest coast.  Cool, wet weather (compared to average) is forecast central as the heat continues across the West.  We also note developing warmth across the Northeast region.

    Weeks 3-4:

    Seasonal temperatures are set to unfold across the central late August with warmest anomalies painting themselves across the Northeast and Northwest portions of the country.  The pattern, locally, is set to become more active from a precipitation perspective as wet conditions return.

  • Heavy Rain And Storms Thursday; Phenomenal Weekend Ahead…


    • Turning more humid this afternoon
    • Heavy rain Thursday
    • Cooler and drier weekend ahead

    Heavy Rain Tomorrow…Wednesday is getting off to a pleasant and beautiful start across the Hoosier state.  Sunshine will be with us throughout the day, but our pleasant air mass that we’re awaking to will grow increasingly moist this afternoon and evening.  Our next storm system approaches late tonight and will help push widespread rain and thunderstorms across the state early Thursday morning.  With such high water content in our air mass, expect periods of heavy rain across the region.  Localized flooding will result.

    The trade off to the wet and stormy Thursday will be an incredible weekend.  Despite a few lingering showers Friday, we’ll notice a dramatic drop in humidity Friday night and this will set the stage for a refreshing last weekend of July.  In fact, temperatures will grow cool enough both Saturday and Sunday mornings to perhaps trigger a feel of early autumn for some.  Plentiful sunshine can be expected along with unseasonably low dew points with a northeasterly flow in place.

    Temperatures and moisture levels will slowly increase as we get into early next week.  With the increasing humidity, expect increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms towards the middle of next week.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 2.00″ – 3.00″