• Category Archives Spring
  • Weekend Heavy Rain Threat…

    We still have a few nice days to enjoy this week before our forecast takes an increasingly wet shift as we progress through the weekend.  As a side note, we still expect scattered showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday night into Thursday morning, but this shouldn’t be a significant event, locally.

    What will become an increasing concern is the threat of periods of heavy rain and thunderstorms this weekend.  The overall setup is a classic one for widespread heavy rain.

    An area of high pressure will be located off the Mid Atlantic coast while surface low pressure develops in the southern Plains and tracks north over the weekend.  The combination of these two ingredients will help pull abundant Gulf of Mexico moisture northward into the Ohio Valley.  With a true Gulf connection, moisture-rich air will overspread the region this weekend.  In addition to feeling truly muggy for the first time this year, this will also aid in periods of heavy rain this weekend.

    Precipitable water values will approach 2″ at times this weekend and that’s plenty enough to create a localized flash flood concern.

    From this distance, it appears like widespread 2″ to 3″ of rain will fall over the weekend, but localized heavier totals are expected where thunderstorms “train” over the same areas.  While it won’t rain the entire weekend, times of wet weather will outnumber dry hours and if you live near a creek or stream, keep abreast of this developing weather situation as significant water rise is expected over the weekend.

  • Quiet Open To The Work Week Turns Stormy By Midweek…

    After a blustery and chilly Saturday (and temperatures in the upper 30s to start our Sunday), a gorgeous close to the weekend is ahead.  Wall-to-wall sunshine is expected with moderating temperatures this afternoon.  Our average high on the 23rd of April is 66° and we should be very close to that later this afternoon.  Enjoy!

    High pressure will remain entrenched over our area as we progress through the early portions of the work week.  This will provide pleasant weather and plentiful sunshine.  With a dry airmass in place, expect significant temperature swings.  Overnight lows in the 40s will quickly rise into the 70s Monday and Tuesday.

    High pressure will dominate our early-week weather.

    A southerly flow will help pull a more humid air mass northward Wednesday and as a cold front slices into the unseasonably warm and muggy airmass, we expect showers and thunderstorms to increase Wednesday evening into Thursday morning.  We still have some time to watch things evolve, but from this distance, we feel strong to severe thunderstorm potential is present during this period.  Locally heavy rains are also possible as PWATs zoom to 1.5″ +.

    Precipitable water values will increase to 1.5″+ Wednesday and support the threat of locally heavy rain.

    We’ll get into some briefly drier air to wrap up the work week, but a warm front will blow through the region Saturday and will likely be accompanied by thunderstorms as it lifts north.  Once the warm front passes, unseasonably warm and humid air will make a return and set the stage for a true summer-like feel next weekend.  We expect highs to go into the lower to middle 80s with a muggy feel, as well.

    Finally, after Saturday morning thunder, we think the majority of next weekend is dry before a cold front brings a return to widespread showers and thunderstorms late Sunday.

  • Chilly Saturday Gives Way To Improving Weather Sunday…


    • Showers south today
    • Unseasonably cool and blustery
    • Increasing sunshine Sunday
    • Midweek storms

    Jackets Required Today, But Improving Weather Tomorrow…A stiff northeast wind is “eating away” at the northern extent of rain today.  Steadiest rains will fall across the southern third of the state, but a couple of showers may make it as far north as Indianapolis later this afternoon.  The bigger story will easily be the brisk northeast flow and unseasonably chilly air.  In fact, we’re waking up to wind chills in the 30s this morning. Jackets are required today.

    Drier air arrives on the scene tonight and clouds will decrease overnight, paving way for a beautiful Sunday.  Expect plentiful sunshine and moderating temperatures.  Dry and pleasant weather continues into midweek before an approaching cold front delivers our next chance of thunderstorms Wednesday evening.

    Another fast-moving weather maker will deliver thunderstorm chances to close the work week.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″

  • Thursday Storms Before A Cooler Trend…


    • Strong storms possible Thursday afternoon
    • Cooler close to the work week
    • Raw Saturday
    • Delightful open to next week

    Thursday Rumbles…While storms have pressed through the northern portions of the state today, we’ve enjoyed a couple days of pleasant weather across most of central Indiana.  That will come to an end Thursday as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms develop, especially during the afternoon into the evening hours.  A few of these storms could become strong-to-severe, including damaging wind and large hail potential.  The cold front will pass Thursday night and help usher in a briefly drier and much cooler air mass to close out the work week.

    Our next storm system will pass south of the region Saturday and result in thickening and lowering clouds Friday evening, and showers Saturday.  With a stiff east wind, showers at times, and temperatures well below average, we have the makings for a downright “raw” spring day Saturday.  The second half of the weekend will easily be “the pick” as we return to drier air and increasing sunshine Sunday afternoon.

    Early next week looks to get off to a pleasant start, including plentiful sunshine and moderating temperatures.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″

  • Major Temperature Swings: Summer-Like Mid-Week; Sweater Weather This Weekend…

    Central Indiana will undergo significant temperatures swings over the upcoming week.  A southerly and southwesterly flow will push an unseasonably warm and moist airmass north to encompass all of the region as we progress through Wednesday and Thursday.

    As a cold front slices into the summer-like warmth (highs will approach 80° Wednesday afternoon), scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop late Wednesday into Thursday.

    We then will shift gears rather abruptly as we move through the latter portions of the work week and on into the weekend with well below normal chill.  In fact, if current data comes to fruition, most of the weekend will be spent in the 40s.

    Factor in a stiff northeast wind and periods of rain, we have the makings for a downright “raw” weekend.  We suggest having indoor activities planned this weekend as an extended period of damp, blustery, and unseasonably cool weather awaits.

    We still have a few days to continue watching the data, but early indications suggest locally heavy rainfall is possible (1″-2″) across the region…

  • Increasing Early Week Sunshine; Raw Weekend Ahead?


    • Nice open to the week
    • Midweek storms
    • Wet, chilly weekend ahead

    Pleasant Open To The Week…High pressure will slowly build into the Ohio Valley through early portions of the work week.  Periods of clouds will be with us today before we clear things out in earnest tonight, resulting in a mostly sunny and beautiful Tuesday.

    Our next storm system arrives Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning with scattered thunderstorms.  With a southerly wind flow in place, a touch of humidity can also be expected Wednesday afternoon.  A cold front will pass early Thursday and result in a much cooler close to the work week.

    Attention then shifts to our next storm system that will, unfortunately, arrive on the scene this weekend.  Clouds will overspread the region Saturday and rain will develop.  Early indications suggest we’ll also need to hit the wind and unseasonably cool air, as well for the weekend.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″

  • Warm Easter Weekend…


    • Warm Easter weekend
    • Scattered storms, but more dry time than wet
    • Bigger storm system looms late next week

    Summer-Feel This Weekend…The big weather story for the Easter weekend will be the unseasonably warm temperatures, including a “touch” of humidity for the first time this spring.  That warmth and humidity will aid in storm development, at times, this weekend, but the balance of the holiday weekend will be rain-free.

    We think best storm coverage comes this evening (primarily after the evening rush) and again on Easter Sunday.  While an isolated storm is possible Saturday, most of the day should be dry.

    A cold front will sweep through the state Easter evening and help set-up a dry, slightly cooler regime to open the new work week.  Dry conditions remain Tuesday before scattered storms return to the forecast Wednesday.  A bigger, more significant storm system looms by the end of next week and could result in heavy rainfall totals.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.50′ – 1.00″

  • Beautiful Wednesday Gives Way To Shower Chances Thursday…

    We’re off to a glorious start this morning, including crystal-clear skies, and crisp temperatures.  This morning’s satellite shows the mostly sunny skies that should be with us for the majority of the day.

    Temperatures will rise from the upper 30s and lower 40s into the middle 60s by evening.

    As we push into Thursday, moisture will return and will lead to an increase in cloud cover, along with scattered showers, especially across northern regions.  It won’t rain the entire day by any means, and some neighborhoods likely won’t see a drop of rain Thursday, but we need to be prepared for a passing shower, especially from mid-morning into the evening.

    Looking ahead to Easter weekend, unsettled weather is still expected with scattered showers and thunderstorms associated with a warm front lifting north through the region Friday into Saturday before a cold front sweeps through Easter Sunday with additional thunderstorm chances.  That said, there will be plenty of rain-free hours this Easter weekend and warmth will dominate.  In fact, highs will flirt with 80° Friday and Saturday.  More on the Easter weekend forecast and our full 7-day later today!

    Enjoy a sunny Wednesday!

  • Drier Weather Arrives For Midweek; Unsettled Easter Weekend…


    • Drier air arrives
    • Unsettled Easter weekend
    • Drier; cooler early next week

    Brighter Days Ahead…Needless to say, our storm system to open the work week has “overachieved.”  Severe thunderstorm warnings were hoisted as early as this morning northwest of the city, including Lafayette- where damaging hail was reported.  Storms remained northwest of the city through the rush hour before a line of slow-moving “gully washers” arrived just as Hoosiers were heading home from work.  Thankfully these remained below severe levels, but heavy rain and vivid lightning was noted and most certainly led to a slow commute home.

    Drier (and brighter) days are ahead this week.  High pressure returns as we progress through midweek and should allow for increasing sunshine and beautiful weather.

    Unfortunately, we can’t dial up 3 nice weekends in a row, but it will be far from a wash-out.  A warm front will lift north Friday into Saturday and result in scattered showers and thunderstorms before a cold front pushes southeast with showers and thunderstorms  Easter, especially in the morning.  We want to reiterate there will be plenty of dry time this weekend…just have the rain gear handy as needed.  Drier air will return Easter afternoon and remain in place early next week.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″ (locally heavier totals)