• Category Archives snow
  • Ugly Close To The Work Week Gives Way To A Gorgeous Weekend…

    Today certainly won’t be a “chamber of commerce” like day across central Indiana as we deal with numerous mixed rain and snow showers.  Already this morning, reports of wet snow are coming in to the forecast office from Whitestown, Lebanon, and Crawfordsville.

    We’ll also add wind into the mix late morning through early evening, including gusts around 50 MPH.  Factor in the much colder temperatures with gusty northerly winds and you have the makings for a truly “raw” day across the region.  The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory until 8pm.

    We should finally get rid of the precipitation later tonight and after a chilly Friday, weekend improvements are coming.  Lows both Friday and Saturday morning will be around freezing for most central Indiana neighborhoods.  After a cloudy start Friday, sunshine should return Friday afternoon as drier air works into the region.  With high pressure arriving this weekend, sunny conditions can be expected and with a southwest wind developing by Saturday afternoon, moderating temperatures are on deck as well.

    In fact, after that cold start Saturday, highs should climb into the lower 60s Saturday afternoon and all the way into the lower to middle 70s Sunday afternoon!

    Our next storm system will push into the Ohio Valley early next week with scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday into Tuesday.


  • Wednesday: Potential Of A Busy Severe Weather Day…

    Highlights:

    • Stormy Wednesday
    • Snow mixes with rain Thursday
    • Gorgeous weekend upcoming
    • Busy times return next week

    Remain Weather-Aware…Chilly, dry weather will continue this evening before showers and thunderstorms (non-severe) approach the western Indiana state line overnight and early Wednesday.  Initially, showers and thunderstorms will impact western and northwestern portions of the state before all of central Indiana gets into the act by the afternoon hours.  We continue to be concerned for the potential of an active severe weather day across the southern half of the state.  All modes of severe weather will be possible, including tornadoes.  As of this update (late Tuesday night), the greatest risk area appears to lie within areas from Indianapolis and points south and southeast.  We’re most concerned for the period 2p-8p and will fine tune things early Wednesday if needed.  Please remain weather-aware and have a means of getting the latest warnings.

    We’ll shift gears rather abruptly from severe to more of a wintry feel to close the work week.  Much colder air will spill into central Indiana Wednesday night and Thursday and leftover, wraparound, moisture will begin mixing with wet snowflakes Thursday afternoon and evening.  Gusty northwest winds and the unseasonably chilly air will result in a downright ugly, raw day.

    After early morning snowflakes Friday, drier air will begin to work into the region and result in increasing sunshine Friday afternoon.  This will be a prelude to a gorgeous weekend:  After a cold start Saturday, expect lots of sunshine and moderating afternoon temperatures.  The warming trend continues Sunday as we top the 70° mark.

    Our next storm approaches early next week.  Clouds increase Sunday night and give way to showers and thunderstorms Monday into Tuesday.  Questions come into play in regards to timing with this next cold front, but thinking (as of now) only slowly moves the front along, keeping unsettled weather in our forecast early week before a much cooler, drier period of weather by midweek.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 2.00″ – 2.50″


  • Topsy-Turvy Forecast…

    Highlights:

    • Strong-severe thunderstorm potential Wednesday
    • Turning colder to close the week with snow showers
    • Beautiful weekend ahead

    Changeable Weather…The region will be in between storm systems Tuesday.  We think clouds will hang tough and the storms from overnight will move off to the east.  In place, scattered showers will dot the north-central Indiana landscape especially through the morning hours.

    A new storm system will take aim on the region Wednesday and strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible.  Many questions remain in regards to instability, but shear will be plentiful and we’ll have to keep a close eye on future developments over the next 24-36 hours.  Stay tuned.  From this distance, conditions seem favorable for super cells to develop especially across southern Indiana.  We’ll transition from storms to more of a wintry-like feel Thursday and Friday and continue to think the air will grow cold enough to support mention of wet snowflakes mixing with the rain by Thursday evening into Friday morning.

    As we flip the page into the weekend, high pressure will build into the Ohio Valley and support increasingly sunny conditions.  After a cold and frosty start Saturday morning, temperatures will rebound nicely under that strong early-April sunshine.

    Our next storm system won’t begin to impact the region until Sunday afternoon (increasing southwest winds) and Monday (scattered showers and thunderstorms).

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 2.00″ – 2.25″


  • Monday Morning Rambles…

    1.)  Showers moved through the region early this morning and we’ll go through several dry hours before dealing with our next round of rain and thunderstorms by evening.  Most widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms appears to come in the 5p-7p range.

    2.)  We’ll get a breather on Tuesday, but our next storm system will move in quickly and begin impacting central Indiana during the day Wednesday.  A couple strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Wednesday and will require our attention over the next day, or so.  We’ll have more details with our updated 7-day later today.

    3.)  We’ll get into the colder side of the storm to close the work week and thoughts will shift from storms to snow.  Wind-whipped snow showers will be a good bet in the unseasonably cold air Thursday into Friday morning.

    4.)  Timing will once again be our friend as we push into the weekend.  Weak high pressure will arrive on the scene and help ensure dry conditions.  After a cold start Saturday, a moderating trend will develop.


  • Active Week Of Weather Ends Wintry…

    Highlights:

    • Pleasant close to the weekend
    • Rainy open to the work week
    • Turning colder with rain and snow late week

    Sunshine Gives Way To Rain…The weekend will end on a pleasant note as weak high pressure provides a variably cloudy sky today.  That early-April sunshine will help temperatures top out in the lower 60s this afternoon.

    Clouds will increase tonight and showers will develop during the overnight period.  We’ll add a little instability to the mix by afternoon and introduce thunderstorms into the forecast Monday afternoon and evening.  This storm system will then exit just as quickly as it arrives Monday night and help set up a pleasant Tuesday.

    Eyes will then shift to a stronger storm system that will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms Wednesday, with locally heavy rain a good bet.  As the storm wraps up over the Great Lakes region late week, colder air will spill into the state on gusty northwesterly winds.  Backlash, wind-whipped, rain showers will transition to wet snow showers Thursday into Friday as colder air settles in.  The good news here is that the weekend will get off to a nice start…after a cold beginning Saturday morning.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 2.00″ 2.50″ with locally heavier totals


  • Quiet Weekend Gives Way To An Active Work Week…

    Highlights:

    • Nice weekend
    • Rain returns Sunday night-Monday
    • Strong storm potential Wednesday PM
    • Cold close to the week

    Sunshine Should Make An Appearance Today…The weekend is opening chilly, including wind chills around freezing this morning.  Hang in there- sunshine should at least make an appearance later on this afternoon and Sunday certainly looks to be a brighter day, overall, before clouds increase late and give way to showers overnight into Monday morning.

    We’re back to sunshine Tuesday before a stronger storm begins to impact the state Wednesday.  A rather robust area of low pressure will track into the Great Lakes region Wednesday night and help pull a briefly warmer, increasingly moist air mass into the area.  Potential is present for strong to severe thunderstorms Wednesday evening into the nighttime.  We’ll then transition to a much cooler regime to close the week and with low pressure slowly pivoting through the Ohio Valley, showers will continue Thursday into Friday.  In fact, the air may grow cold enough to allow for a few wet snowflakes to mix with the rain by Friday morning.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 1.75″ – 2.25″


  • Thursday Morning Weather Rambles…

    1.)  All of a sudden what was a warm March has revered big time.  Officially, Indianapolis is running close to 1° below normal on the month and will continue to fall further once today’s data is factored in.  Always fun to see Mother Nature “balance” things out.

    2.)  It’s another cold start to the day with many central Indiana neighborhoods in the teens and hard freezes extending south into Florida this morning.

    3.)  Sunshine can be expected today and after the frigid beginning, a moderating trend will begin this afternoon that will send temperatures into the lower to middle 40s.  That’s still close to 10° below average for daytime highs, but will feel much better than what we’ve been dealing with over the past several days.  Add in that high March sun angle and it’ll actually be a very pleasant afternoon.

    4.)  Unfortunately, we won’t hang on to the sunshine for St. Patrick’s Day.  A warm front will lift northeast through the region during the overnight and lead to an increase in clouds by evening.  A wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain will impact central IN predawn Friday morning before transitioning to showers mid-to-late morning.  “Light” is the key word here with models suggesting less than 0.20″ total.  By Friday afternoon we’re back to dry times.

    5.)  We’ll turn a touch cooler Saturday and it’ll be a blustery day, as well.  A couple of early snow showers are possible across east and northeast portions of the state before afternoon sunshine returns.  High pressure settles in overhead Saturday evening and will set up a nice second half of the weekend- lots of sunshine and milder temperatures by Sunday (lower 50s).

    6.)  Looking ahead, the quiet times will be hard to come by as we progress through the latter portions of the month.  Both the new JMA Weeklies (shown below) and other ensemble guidance is bullish on a wetter than average close to the month, and also one that features wild temperature swings.  Thoughts shift back to severe prospects, especially for our friends to our south and the potential of backlash wet snow showers in the colder air.  From a temperature perspective, it’s a pattern that will be very “transient” with no true long-lasting periods of significant warmth, or cold- relative to average.


  • In The Deep Freeze…

    Highlights:

    • Morning snow showers end
    • Slowly moderating temperatures
    • Wet St. Patrick’s Day
    • Sunshine returns this weekend

    Heavy Winter Gear Required…The calendar may say mid-March, but Old Man Winter refuses to go away without having the last word.  To put things into perspective, our forecast high of 32° today is colder than our average low for the 15th (33°)!  To make matters worse, gusty north winds are pushing the wind chill factor into the single digits this morning.  Bundle up!  Moving forward, lake-enhanced snow showers will continue through the morning hours before ending as we progress through the afternoon.

    After a cold start Thursday, a moderating trend will develop by afternoon.  Plentiful sunshine should be with us Thursday before clouds increase late in the day in advance of a warm front lifting northeast.  Showers will develop Friday (could begin as a touch of freezing rain, but not expecting problems Thursday night/ early Friday morning), but temperatures will actually reach seasonal levels despite the wet, breezy conditions.

    Sunshine returns this weekend and though it’ll be cooler Saturday when compared to St. Patrick’s Day, considering how cold we’ve been of late, it won’t feel that bad. Early morning snow showers will target eastern and northeastern portions of the state before sunshine returns.

    The next weather maker will provide showers Monday before we focus in on the middle of next week with potential of a more significant storm to deal with…

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: Dusting
    • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″


  • Quiet Start Gives Way To Localized Snow Squalls This Afternoon…

    Tuesday is off to a frigid, but quiet start to the day.  Temperatures are in the upper 10s for most central Indiana neighborhoods with sunshine to start the day.  Gusty north winds are putting our wind chills into the single digits this morning.

    As we progress through the afternoon hours, clouds will increase and scattered snow showers will develop.  Highs will remain below freezing today- generally in the upper 20s to around 30.

    With very cold air aloft, a lobe of upper level energy, and some lake enhancement, scattered snow showers will develop this afternoon and continue into the evening hours.  Additionally, snow squall parameters are high and locally intense bursts of snow can also be expected as we move through the afternoon and evening hours.  These won’t impact everyone, but where they do occur, expect rapidly reduced visibility and a quick accumulation.  Forecast radar shows this potential as we move into the afternoon hours, with a couple of lake effect streamers continuing Wednesday morning.

    Forecast radar 5p.
    Forecast radar 3a.

    Wednesday will be another frigid day, especially by March standards.  We’ll focus in on the morning hours for the most widespread snow shower activity with quieter times expected as we move through the day.


  • A Wintry Week…

    Highlights:

    • Snow develops
    • Bitterly cold air for March
    • St. Patrick’s Day showers

    Snow Develops…Drier air is “eating away” at the snow shield as it attempts to advance eastward this morning.  Eventually, we’ll moisten the atmosphere up enough to allow snow to push into the greater Indianapolis region by late morning.  Snow will accumulate this morning, but marginal temperatures, that high March sun angle, and the fact most of the snow will be falling during the afternoon, we don’t anticipate accumulation issues this afternoon.  Reinforcing cold air will filter back into the region tonight and last through mid week.  With this late season arctic air, additional snow showers and embedded heavier squalls will continue.  With all of that said, we don’t have any changes to our ongoing accumulation forecast.  Expect an inch, or less, for the city, itself, increasing to 2″-5″ for north-central Indiana (where lake effect will add to the totals) for storm totals through Wednesday.

    Dry conditions return late Wednesday and Thursday, but the cold will continue.  Our next storm system arrives on the scene St. Patrick’s Day and with blustery, chilly conditions in place, showers added to the mix will feature “raw” weather conditions.  As it stands now, we are going with a more optimistic approach for the weekend, including a dry forecast with increasing sunshine.  After the cold week ahead, we will have earned it!

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 1″ – 2″
    • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″