• Category Archives Record Cold
  • A Wintry Feel To Close The Week…

    A big trough has carved itself out over the eastern portions of the country to wrap up the work week.

     

    This will provide an unseasonably cold feel today and Saturday. As reinforcing cold air blows into town today, snow flurries will likely fly this afternoon.

     

     

    We’ll be near record cold levels Saturday morning as lows fall into the middle to upper teens. Saturday’s record low is 16°.

     

     

    Highs the next couple days will be closer to our average low this time of the year. Amazing stuff!

    A warmer push of air will arrive for the majority of next week and this will be preceded by a round of light to moderate rain Sunday afternoon and evening. 

     

      


  • Where We Are And Where We’re Going…

    It’s another frigid start to the day and this seems to be the story of the winter of 2024-2015. The weather roundup of 7am temperatures and March 6th snow cover would be impressive for anyday in winter, yet alone March 6th.

    

    It’s been a bitterly cold open to March.

    

    Despite another morning of subzero lows, milder times are ahead. It’ll be a slow climb out of the cold hole we’ve been in, but early to mid next week will feel mighty nice (50s and even lower 60s possible)!

    

    BUT don’t get used to it (remember we’re only the messengers)! Modeling is seeing a return to cold and wintry conditions for late March, potentially even as early as next weekend if you’re to believe the GFS.

    

    A relatively quiet week is on tap to go along with the milder air, but things may get more active towards next weekend. Note the Canadian 10 day precipitation totals are impressive south, indicative of a storm system brewing to our south late in the period. 

    

    The GFS is also seeing the potential “mischief” next weekend.

    

    

    


  • Watching For Afternoon Snow…

    Screen Shot 2015-03-04 at 7.56.01 AMLight Snow Moves In This Afternoon…While heavy snow will remain to our south, we do forecast light snow to overspread portions of central Indiana later this afternoon into the evening hours. This won’t be a huge deal, but a dusting to 1″ of accumulation will be possible around the city, itself.  Heavier snow will fall downstate.  Heads up if you’re traveling south.

    The bigger story will be a MUCH colder air mass that arrives tonight and sets up a frigid Thursday.  We’ll be on record watch Thursday to potentially set a new record cold max.  It’ll be close.  Cold air remains with us to wrap up the work week.

    A weak weather system will scoot north of the area Saturday night into Sunday morning, but may be close enough to provide a quick rain or snow shower.

    Early next week looks dry with a moderating trend.  We’re expecting a more pronounced warm up for the second half of next week…60s, anyone?!

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″
    • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting to 1″


  • Icy Morning…

    Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 7.58.16 AMRough Travel Conditions This Morning…Freezing rain and freezing drizzle is making a mess of the morning commute.  Thankfully, eventually we’ll climb above freezing around, or just after, noon.  Before then, icy travel conditions can be expected.  Take it slow or postpone travel until the afternoon if possible.  By this afternoon, temperatures will climb above freezing and plain ole rain can be expected into tonight.  We don’t anticipate flooding issues locally as rain won’t be heavy enough and temperatures won’t be warm enough to result in significant melting.

    Much colder air will blow into town late tonight and Wednesday morning and as a second area of low pressure tracks along the front, widespread accumulating snow is a good bet across the southern half of the state Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning.  As of now, we still target areas along and south of I-70 most at risk for snow accumulation Wednesday afternoon.

    A much drier, but cold, pattern will be with us to wrap up the work week, including more record cold a good bet.  Dry and slightly milder conditions are ahead over the weekend before a weak system may deliver a light snow or rain shower early next week.

    Looking ahead, it appears as if we finally may deal with a much milder, spring-like pattern around mid March.  60s for highs anyone?!  That said, concerns remain that we reverse this and go colder than normal late March.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 3″ (south)
    • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″

    In case you missed it this morning, we posted an article on meteorological winter and you can find it by clicking here.


  • A Lot To Discuss…

    Good evening, friends!  As promised, there’s a lot on the weather menu over the course of the upcoming several days.  Let’s get right into the details.

    The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory from 3a-12p for all of the region to account for the sleet and freezing rain situation we’ll deal with late tonight into the first half of Tuesday.  We still expect significant travel issues and overall impacts to the Tuesday morning commute.

    Forecast radar shows freezing rain spreading into the region between 3 and 4am.

    1Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle will continue for the better part of the morning hours as temperatures likely won’t climb above freezing until early Tuesday afternoon, especially from Indianapolis and points northeast.

    Forecast temperatures at 12p Tuesday.

    hires_t2m_indy_24We still don’t anticipate many big time flooding concerns as a.) temperatures won’t warm all that much (we MAY reach 40 Tuesday evening, but that’s a big question mark) and b.) most of the heavy rain will remain south of central Indiana.

    Here’s expected liquid-equivalent totals through Wednesday morning.

    2The next concern is the threat of accumulating snow for central and southern portions of the state Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Arctic high pressure will limit the northern extent of significant precipitation, but, as mentioned previously, energy rounding the base of the trough will ignite another wave of low pressure to move along the pressing arctic front.  As of now, we target areas along and south of the I-70 corridor most under the gun for a potentially impactful snow storm Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday morning.

    3The individual GFS ensemble members have also been trending north and overall more excited about snow prospects, as well.

    7The other item on the agenda is a shot of record cold in here for late week.  Sub-zero lows are a good bet by Friday morning.  Highs Thursday will push for a new record low maximum temperature.

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  • More On This Week…

    It was a record snowfall officially at IND where a storm total of 7.9″ was recorded (5.9″ accumulated since midnight). Many other 8″ type amounts are common throughout the heart of central Indiana- including right here at the IndyWx.com HQ.  Yours truly ventured out through the village of Zionsville this afternoon.  Simply beautiful!

    HaleyBillSnow

    ZvilleSnow3115

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    We have a busy weather week upcoming and wanted to touch base on a few items of note:

    1.) Freezing rain and potential slick travel will be possible very late Monday night into Tuesday morning.  Moisture will attack from the southwest and run into an impressive snowpack currently in place across central Indiana.  Despite warmer air moving in aloft, surface temperatures will remain cold enough through late Tuesday morning to allow precipitation to fall in the form of sleet and freezing rain Tuesday morning.  It appears as if enough freezing rain could accumulate to result in slick travel throughout the region.  While temperatures will “warm” into the lower 40s Tuesday afternoon, this is a far cry from the lower 50s modeling tried to suggest a few days ago.  Furthermore, cold air will quickly rush back in here Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

    2.) Accumulating snow threat for the southern half of the state Wednesday into Thursday. Additional “energy” will round the base of a digging trough over the southern and central Plains states Wednesday. This will help ignite a surface low along the front and temporarily lead to the front stalling out just to our south and east.  It’ll be close as to just how far north the accumulating snow shield makes it across southern and central Indiana, but will require  a close eye in the coming day or two.  We note some of our more reliable modeling placing central and southern portions of the state “under fire” for additional accumulating snow.

    3.) Serious and potentially record cold returns this week.  Yet ANOTHER blast of bitterly cold air will plunge into the area Wednesday night into Thursday.  With snow on the ground, it’s possible this direct discharge of arctic air is even colder than what some data might suggest at this time.  As it is already, we think some central Hoosier neighborhoods deal with sub-zero air in the Thursday/ Friday morning time frame.  Thursday’s high will only manage to climb into the teens across the region.  (Keep in mind the average low is 28 and average high is 45).  Just amazing stuff!


  • Friday Morning…

    Good morning, friends! Not much has changed overnight with our thinking in regards to our winter storm late Saturday night through Sunday. We’ll have our first official snowfall forecast map posted later this evening. For now, here’s our initial thinking around where the heaviest snow is possible.

    

    We anticipate the leading edge of snow to arrive into central Indiana as early as 9-10 o’clock Saturday night. 

    

    As we’ve mentioned, this looks to be a rather prolonged event and is likely to lead to high impacts with travel Sunday into early Monday morning. 

    Before the snow, it’s the record bitter cold we’ve got to deal with through Saturday. Bundle up! 

    Much more later!


  • Thursday Morning…

    Very busy day on tap so a more in depth post will have to wait until later this evening. Here’s what’s on our plate over the next 5-7 days:

    1.) Clipper will deliver light snow through late morning across central Indiana. Amounts of 1-2″ still look solid. 

    2.) Fresh brutally cold air arrives today and really gets entrenched over the region tonight. Expect sub-zero lows Friday morning and even some reports of temperatures more than 10° below zero across outlying areas Saturday morning. 

    3.) A snowstorm is sitting on deck Saturday night into Sunday. We think most at risk areas for a substantial snow this weekend will be along, and north, of the I-70 corridor, but caution it’s still early. A messy mix will develop downstate. 

    4.) Modeling overnight returned to the considerably warmer solution for early next week. Still not sure this is the correct idea, but you can’t argue with the most recent trend and consensus. Let’s get through the weekend event first. 

    Much more later! Make it a great day and travel safe! 


  • Busy AND Wintry Forecast…

    Screen Shot 2015-02-25 at 7.27.09 AMBrief Break From The Severe Cold, But Not For Long…Today will be the “pick of the week” as milder air and some sunshine lead to a decent Wednesday. (It’s funny we say “milder” with highs that barely rise above our average low, but we’ll take what we can get).

    A clipper system will impact the region tonight through Thursday and spread light snow across the area.  This won’t be a big deal, but accumulations around 1″ will be possible (perhaps an isolated 2″ report here or there).  The bigger deal?  Fresh bitterly cold arctic air pushing in here to wrap up the work week and head into the weekend.  Record-smashing cold and dangerous wind chills will be with us.

    The next storm system will spread snow and a wintry mix through central Indiana Saturday night into Monday morning.  As we mentioned last night, this is a fluid situation and it’s still far too early for specifics.  That said, central Indiana is very much in play for another accumulating wintry event this weekend.

    A final piece of energy will deliver more precipitation early next week.  As of now we forecast a wintry mix of snow and sleet to transition to rain as milder air pushes in from the southwest Tuesday.  Again- much can still change.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast:  0.50″ – 0.75″
    • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 3″ – 6″