- Category Archives First frost
- Scattered shower and t-storm chances return
- Warm pattern continues
- Changes loom later next week
Enjoy The Warmth While We Have It…A frontal boundary will “meander” around the Ohio Valley over the next couple of days. It’ll sink south as we close the work week before lifting back north as a warm front this weekend. At the same time, surface low pressure will track from the Plains into the Great Lakes this weekend. The end result will be more unsettled conditions returning to the region after our extended dry spell. It certainly won’t rain the entire time (in fact, most of the forecast period will be rain-free), but plan for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms at times beginning as early as Wednesday. Additionally, as the front sags south Friday, slightly cooler air will work into central Indiana before a warmer southerly air flow takes over once again this weekend.
As we flip the page to next week, a couple of frontal boundaries will push southeast. Additionally, the “wild card” in this forecast is what may eventually become of an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico. While modeling differs on the evolution of things, a couple of solutions bring this into the north-central Gulf Coast this weekend before moving north and delivering widespread rain inland. It’s far too early for specifics, but we’ll keep a close eye on things.
Back to the FROPA discussion: The initial front won’t have much impact on area temperatures (still well above normal), but will be enough to include widely scattered storm chances early next week. The second frontal passage will lead to a MUCH cooler feel just beyond the current 7-day period. In fact, the air will grow chilly enough in the 8-10 day timeframe where it’ll actually feel more like November, and the first frost of the season may await for most of central Indiana…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
- Breezy open to the work week
- Moderating temperatures
- Weekend rain chances
Two back-to-back freezes were felt across central IN over the weekend, including several reports of middle to upper 20s in neighborhoods away from the city. As we open the work week, our air flow will shift to the SW and help boost temperatures with wind gusts up to 30 MPH Monday afternoon. Dry conditions will prevail until Wednesday when an isolated shower/ sprinkle will be possible.
Better rain chances are expected this weekend as a cold front moves in. Modeling suggests this boundary may be able to tap into just enough Gulf moisture to allow for more widespread rain coverage than what we’ve seen recently. We’ll keep our fingers crossed.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
*Our annual Winter Outlook will be posted Saturday.*
After a chilly start this morning (patchy frost has been reported), sunshine and a gusty SW wind will help temperatures recover into the upper 60s to around 70°.
Forecast radar 8p
MUCH colder air will ooze into the area overnight and Friday morning. Lows Friday morning will fall into the upper 30s for many. Factor in a gusty north wind and wind chills in the 20s can be expected at times. It’ll be a crisp day as highs remain in the 50s.
Here’s a look at forecast lows Saturday morning. Lows will be even colder Sunday morning (some upper 20s will be felt). Ah, frost on the pumpkin…
- Another glorious fall day
- Scattered shower Thursday night
- Much cooler air heading into the weekend
High pressure will provide another picture-perfect fall day Wednesday before a cold front approaches Thursday evening. A band of scattered showers will accompany the frontal passage Thursday night, but we’re still not looking at any sort of rain of significance.
The big story wrapping up the work week and heading into the weekend? MUCH cooler air and blustery conditions. Jackets and sweaters will be needed this weekend. Additionally, we still think our first frost and freeze of the season will arrive come Sunday morning.
Looking ahead, forecast models remain consistent on a more appreciable rain maker arriving just over a week from today. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace – 0.10″
- Windy times
- Cooler air arrives
- Showers Thursday night
- Chilly finish to the week
A cold front swept through the region Monday evening with a band of showers and embedded strong thunderstorms across the eastern portion of IN. Rainfall amounts weren’t impressive, unfortunately. High pressure is now building in and will result in a much cooler and continued dry time through mid week.
A secondary cold front will blow into town Thursday evening with scattered showers and MUCH cooler, breezy conditions to wrap up the work week. A chilly weekend is in store with frost potential Sunday morning.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace- 0.10″
- Windy and warm open to the work week
- Cooler times coming
- Stronger front to close the week
- Weekend frost potential
We’ll welcome a new work week with blustery SW winds (gusting upwards of 30 MPH Monday afternoon) and warm conditions. A cold front will move through central IN Monday evening and cooler air will follow. We’ll turn much cooler for mid week, along with pleasant skies.
A secondary (stronger) front will sweep through the area Friday. This frontal system may include a couple showers, but the strong and gusty winds and MUCH cooler air will be the bigger deal. Dry skies, but well below normal temperatures are on tap this weekend. Many communities will be dealing with their first frost and/ or freeze come Sunday morning.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace- 0.10″
A tranquil and warm start to the week (today and Monday) will take a bit of a hit for mid week as the first of two waves of cooler air arrive. The second, stronger, surge of chill will blow into town late week and set many up for the first frost of the season.
If you’re a fan of cooler/ colder air then you want to see a positive PNA (Pacific North American pattern). Sure enough, model data shows that positive PNA through late month.
Note the eastern trough amplifying heading into late week and the weekend, with the building western ridge.
Temperature anomalies Monday.