• Category Archives Easter
  • Warm Easter Weekend…

    Highlights:

    • Warm Easter weekend
    • Scattered storms, but more dry time than wet
    • Bigger storm system looms late next week

    Summer-Feel This Weekend…The big weather story for the Easter weekend will be the unseasonably warm temperatures, including a “touch” of humidity for the first time this spring.  That warmth and humidity will aid in storm development, at times, this weekend, but the balance of the holiday weekend will be rain-free.

    We think best storm coverage comes this evening (primarily after the evening rush) and again on Easter Sunday.  While an isolated storm is possible Saturday, most of the day should be dry.

    A cold front will sweep through the state Easter evening and help set-up a dry, slightly cooler regime to open the new work week.  Dry conditions remain Tuesday before scattered storms return to the forecast Wednesday.  A bigger, more significant storm system looms by the end of next week and could result in heavy rainfall totals.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.50′ – 1.00″


  • Drier Weather Arrives For Midweek; Unsettled Easter Weekend…

    Highlights:

    • Drier air arrives
    • Unsettled Easter weekend
    • Drier; cooler early next week

    Brighter Days Ahead…Needless to say, our storm system to open the work week has “overachieved.”  Severe thunderstorm warnings were hoisted as early as this morning northwest of the city, including Lafayette- where damaging hail was reported.  Storms remained northwest of the city through the rush hour before a line of slow-moving “gully washers” arrived just as Hoosiers were heading home from work.  Thankfully these remained below severe levels, but heavy rain and vivid lightning was noted and most certainly led to a slow commute home.

    Drier (and brighter) days are ahead this week.  High pressure returns as we progress through midweek and should allow for increasing sunshine and beautiful weather.

    Unfortunately, we can’t dial up 3 nice weekends in a row, but it will be far from a wash-out.  A warm front will lift north Friday into Saturday and result in scattered showers and thunderstorms before a cold front pushes southeast with showers and thunderstorms  Easter, especially in the morning.  We want to reiterate there will be plenty of dry time this weekend…just have the rain gear handy as needed.  Drier air will return Easter afternoon and remain in place early next week.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″ (locally heavier totals)


  • Looking At The Week Ahead…

    The second half of the weekend will feature beautiful weather, albeit breezy conditions at times.  Strong southwesterly winds will gust upwards of 40 MPH this afternoon, but also aid in pushing mid to upper 70s northward into central Indiana.  Despite the strong winds, we still recommend finding a way to get outside and enjoy this weather!

    Highs will run close to 15° above average this afternoon.

    Stormy weather returns Monday as a frontal boundary slips into the state.  A couple storms may become strong or severe Monday afternoon and the Storm Prediction Center highlights northwestern portions of the state for a Slight Risk.  Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern with any severe storm that may develop.

    High pressure returns for midweek and supplies a dry regime, along with increasing sunshine and temperatures that will run slightly above average (mid-40s at night and 65°-70° during the day).

    There are questions once to the end of the period as the GFS and European handle the evolution of our late-week storm differently.  The GFS brings energy out into the Ohio Valley and results in unsettled weather returning Friday, continuing into Easter weekend, while the European is slower.  We’ll keep an eye on things over the next few days and update accordingly.  The GFS suggests some localized heavier downpours would be possible in the Friday-Sunday period as the majority of the 7-day precipitation snapshot below falls within the timeframe.


  • Can’t Beat This Weekend Weather…

    Highlights:

    • Sun-filled weekend
    • Sunday turns windy
    • Storms arrive Monday evening

    Sunscreen Required This Weekend…It’s not very often around these parts where we can dial-up two beautiful weekends in back-to-back fashion, but that’s exactly what we’ll do.  High pressure will supply a gorgeous Saturday and Sunday, complete with plentiful sunshine.  We’ll add 10° Sunday, but also throw in 30-40 MPH wind gusts, especially by afternoon.  Get outside and enjoy this weather!

    A weak frontal boundary will slip into the state Monday afternoon and will likely kick-up some thunderstorms as it pushes southeast Monday afternoon and evening.  A strong thunderstorm, or two, can’t be ruled out.  We’re back to dry weather midweek before unsettled weather returns to close out the work week.  Looking ahead just beyond the current 7-Day would suggest a wet and stormy beginning Easter Sunday before a drier finish.  Stay tuned as we still have time for things to change.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 0.00″
    • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″


  • Strong To Severe Storms By Easter Evening…

    Happy Easter!  From all of us at IndyWx.com, we wish you a blessed day!

    Easter Sunday is off to a beautiful start with lots of sunshine, temperatures in the 40s, and light winds.  Unfortunately, things will begin to change in rather significant fashion as early as the evening hours.  Beforehand, expect sunshine to help boost temperatures into the lower 70s across many central IN neighborhoods.  It’ll turn increasingly moist, as well, as surface dew points jump into the lower 60s.

    Highs today will reach the lower 70s.
    Highs today will reach the lower 70s.
    Dew points will climb into the lower 60s by evening.
    Dew points will climb into the lower 60s by evening.

    An approaching area of low pressure and associated cold front will provide just enough spin/ lift, in combination with the warmth and increasingly moist air mass, to ignite storms this evening.  Some of these storms will likely reach strong to severe levels.  We’re most concerned for the potential of damaging straight line winds and large hail.

    High resolution simulated radar data suggests storms ignite around 6p across central IN.  We caution that this image should be used as guidance and not taken verbatim.

    hrrr_ref_indy_11Have a way to get the latest weather information later this afternoon and evening.  Watches or warnings may be required…


  • Wet Day On Tap…

    Screen Shot 2016-03-24 at 9.00.42 AMHighlights:

    • Showers and t-storms
    • Chilly Good Friday
    • Tricky Easter Forecast

    Showers And Embedded Thunder Today…Showers and thunderstorms will be with us for the majority of the late morning and afternoon hours before a cold front sweeps through the state tonight and sets up a dry, but much colder time of things for Good Friday.  Locally heavy downpours are a good bet today, including some 1″+ totals across central parts of the state.

    The first half of the Easter weekend is looking very nice.  Certainly of the two days, we’d recommend getting that Easter Egg Hunt in on Saturday as clouds will increase Easter Sunday and give way to late day rain.  Modeling isn’t in agreement on the timing of rain Easter, but we’re siding more with the GFS approach for now (earlier arrival when compared to the European).  Stay tuned as we fine tune ;-).

    Our “topsy turvy” weather pattern will continue into next week, but we still eye a significant cold front and associated MUCH colder air mass during the first (10) days of April…


  • The “Ups And Downs” Of Spring…

    Screen Shot 2016-03-21 at 9.17.30 AMHighlights:

    • Dry, chilly open to the week
    • Unsettled mid week
    • Watching Easter

    Ice Scrapers Needed This Morning…Many Indiana neighborhoods awoke to temperatures in the 20s this morning.  Thankfully, that late March sun angle will help boost temperatures quickly today to around 50 for afternoon highs.

    A warm front will lift through the region Tuesday and could spark a shower or two, but most will remain dry.  We’ll turn briefly milder Tuesday and Wednesday before better coverage of showers and embedded thunder arrive on scene Thursday.  This is in association with a cold front that will deliver a quick pop of colder air to close the week, including Good Friday.  There’s the chance enough cold air could catch lingering moisture to allow for a few snow showers late Thursday night before we dry things out completely.

    As we look ahead to Easter, another storm system will arrive quickly.  As such, we’re forced to increase rain chances (and coverage) Easter Sunday.

    Longer term, indications continue to point towards a rather rude open to April, including well below normal temperatures.


  • Much Colder Weekend Coming…

    Screen Shot 2016-03-16 at 10.12.10 PMHighlights:

    • Mostly dry close to the work week
    • Rain to snow this weekend
    • Quickly warmer early next week

    Keep The Jackets Nearby…We’ve enjoyed April and May-like temperatures over the past couple weeks, so you knew we had to make up for the warmth sooner or later.  Thankfully, the pending weekend chill isn’t anything we can’t handle.  That said, it will serve as a rather rude shock to the system for those craving sustained spring.

    We’ll wrap up the work week on a mostly dry note (only a spotty shower chance), but we’ll increase overall coverage of shower activity Saturday.  While it’ll be far from a wash out, when you combine the areal increase of shower coverage and much colder air, it may be a day to spend indoors watching basketball (any excuse will work, right? ;-)).  As colder air gets involved, it’s possible rain ends as a wet snow flake, or two.

    We’ll turn briefly milder early and middle parts of next week as a warm front passes with showers Tuesday.  Steadier rains arrive Wednesday before colder air returns yet again heading into the Easter weekend.

    7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: Trace
    • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″
    Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.