• Category Archives Auburn
  • Mostly Tranquil…

    Highlights:

    • Colder than normal, but dry
    • Windy, but mostly dry this weekend
    • Moderating ahead of the next storm

    Dry For The Big Travel Day…A cold front is passing through the state as we type this forecast with a light band of moisture (light rain ending as light snow).  This will serve up cold, but dry conditions for the big travel day, and continued dry conditions Thanksgiving Day.  “Average” temperatures Thanksgiving feature lows around 30° and highs in the middle 40s, and we’ll be pretty close to those values.  Black Friday will feature dry, but increasingly breezy conditions.

    Thankfully, weather conditions will be tranquil for “Iron Bowl Saturday” (WARRRR EAGLE)!!!  With the exception of an early shower, look for dry conditions along with a shifting breeze that will help push colder air in for the second half of the weekend.

    Those chilly conditions won’t last long as we get into an increasingly gusty southwesterly flow and milder conditions next week ahead of the next approaching storm system…

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: Trace
    • Rainfall: 0.10″


  • Model Data Remains Consistent On A More Active Pattern Returning…

    Today’s 12z model suite is in and it remains consistent on a more active weather pattern returning to the delight of many Hoosiers! A blend of the GFS and European 10-day rainfall numbers print out 2″ for Indianapolis.  The GFS ensemble ‘mean’ (a blend of 21 individual members) agrees.

    Best overall coverage of showers and thunderstorms should come in (3) waves over the upcoming 10-day period:

    • Wednesday into Thursday
    • Saturday into Sunday
    • Middle parts of the following week

    While we don’t see any sort of uniform type rains in the upcoming period, the “smattering” of storms should help most neighborhoods get in on the rainy “goods” at one time or another over the upcoming week and a half.  Keep in mind, we’re in mid-June now and it’s mighty difficult to ask for anything much more than scattered storms this time of year on through late-summer…unless a tropical entity gets involved.  That’s just the way this time of year is.  With that said, localized torrential downpours are a very good bet from time to time, beginning as early as mid-week, as precipitable water values approach, or exceed, 2″ (about as moisture-rich as you can ask the air mass to get around these parts) into the upcoming weekend.

    As I type this outside on the back porch this evening, I hear the sounds of sprinklers in full-force through the ‘hood.  Thankfully, Mother Nature will help save on the water bill later this week.  Longer-term, you’ll hear us use the word “transient” many times this summer when discussing the overall weather pattern.  Thankfully that tends to result in a fairly busy time of things.  Before you know it, college football season will be back (83 days until my beloved Auburn Tigers kick-off), those wetter autumn storms will return, and thoughts will begin to shift to winter (they may have already started here :-))- not that we’re trying to rush summer away or anything…


  • Turning Windy And Cooler…

    Screen Shot 2015-10-28 at 7.22.22 AMHighlights:

    • Increasing winds
    • Turning much cooler
    • Showers possible for Trick-Or-Treat

    Low pressure is tracking into the Great Lakes this morning and the steady rain is ending from west to east.  Showers will remain in our forecast today until a cold front sweeps the region later this evening, but the all day, steady rains are coming to an end.  The other big story today will be strengthening northwest winds late.  Those northwest winds (gusts of 30-40 MPH) will help drive much cooler air southbound to wrap up the work week!

    Our next weather maker will, unfortunately, arrive over the weekend and we must maintain shower chances during the all important Saturday evening Trick-Or-Treat forecast.  While heavy rain isn’t anticipated, it could be just enough to require rain gear when you’re out and about.

    Ridging will develop over the eastern US early next week and be responsible for a nice stretch of “Indian Summer” weather.

    Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″


  • Lots Of Winter Next Week….

    Quick post during halftime of the Auburn/ Wisconsin game (WAR EAGLE)!!!

    A full 7-day forecast will be posted later tonight.

    Just wanted to touch on the bitter shot of air inbound next week and a couple opportunities (at least) for light snow.

    Snow threats:
    1. Sunday with backlash snow showers as colder air quickly moves right back in behind the low pressure system that will deliver a Saturday AM wintry mix then rain.

    2. Monday night-Tuesday as low pressure and the arctic front move through the region. Locally heavy snow bursts and embedded squalls can be associated with arctic blasts such as we’ll “welcome” Tuesday.

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    Cold Pattern Continues:

    1.) After a brief spike in the thermometer Saturday night/ Sunday morning, the upcoming 7-10 day period will be spent below freezing.

    2.) A one-two shot of cold air will move in Sunday and Monday and again Tuesday and Wednesday. It’s the second arctic blast that’ll be particularly nasty. Both the GFS and European data suggest temperatures will fall below zero and highs Wednesday may struggle to make it out of the single digits.

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    Much more later! Happy New Year!


  • Briefly Milder This Weekend, But Rain Chances Included…

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    31/ 54

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    Milder Air, But Rain Chances Increase…Many will welcome a milder southwesterly air flow this weekend.  While this will serve to help give temperatures a significant boost from what we’ve dealt with practically the whole month of November, it’ll also provide increasingly cloudy skies and the chance of sprinkles/ light rain showers by afternoon and evening.

    Sunday will be even milder as highs reach towards the 60 degree mark.  A cold front will approach the area Sunday afternoon and evening and provide a better chance of showers and colder air to open the new work week.

    Have The Dramamine Handy…We’re in the beginning stages of a pattern change that’ll promote at least “attempts” of milder air in the coming 7-10 days.  That said, cold highs will remain across the northern tier and present challenges in both the temperature forecast, but also precipitation timing in the back half of this forecast period.  In the longer term we want to be very clear that signals suggest mid and late December feature a cold and wintry pattern returning.

    As we move into the mid and late week stretch plan for possible changes.  There are challenges that abound, but for now our best meteorological take will feature increasing clouds Wednesday with light showers arriving by evening.  This would be followed by steadier rains Thursday before drier and colder air returns to wrap up the work week.  Stay tuned; it’s a tough pattern, as is usually the case during the transitional seasons.

    News And Notes: Bill will be on WIBC with Ray Steele this morning around 7:30.  Be sure and tune in to hear a little weather chit-chat and a lot of talk about tonight’s Iron Bowl… War Eagle!

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1″
    • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″


  • Cold Thanksgiving…

    Thanksgiving

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    Happy Thanksgiving…We want to wish each and every one of you a happy and healthy Thanksgiving!  Enjoy the day with family and friends.  We’re incredibly thankful and blessed for your support and to be able to provide you with the latest weather forecasts and discussions throughout central Indiana.  While the morning could offer a few flurries or scattered snow showers, most of the day will be dry and cold.  Average highs are in the upper 40s this time of year.  We’ll fall far below that this Thanksgiving.

    Moderating Into The Weekend…Black Friday will continue the cold theme along with a few snow flurries as a weak weather system scoots through the region.  Shoppers will certainly want to bundle up as they tackle those Christmas lists.  That said, the theme of the Thanksgiving weekend will be one that features moderating temperatures.  The milder southwesterly air flow will also serve to provide increasingly cloudy conditions along with pesky light rain late Saturday into Sunday.

    Challenging Forecast…A challenging forecast is ahead early next week as cold highs to the north combine with resurgent milder air across the south.  The battle ground lies across the Mid West and Ohio Valley region and we’ll have to remain on our toes for potential changes.  For now we’re going with a colder feel Monday (falling temperatures after a high in the wee morning hours), cold and dry Tuesday, and milder/ wet Wednesday.  Stay tuned.

    News and Notes: We’re very excited to let you know that Bill will be joining Ray Steele on Weekend Indiana Saturday morning to talk a little weather and a lot about the Iron Bowl!  Be sure to tune into WIBC 6a-8a Saturday.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″
    • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Trace – Dusting


  • Tuesday Evening Weather Update (And A Little Iron Bowl Excitement)…

    There’s just a little excitement in the McMillan household this time of year…  Between Thanksgiving, the increasingly busy weather pattern, and, of course, the Iron Bowl, it’s almost too much excitement to handle.

    Cold weather will give way to an increasingly milder regime for a brief period of time early December, but we caution it won’t last.  In fact, we think things turn colder than normal and increasingly wintry mid and late month.  More details on the short term in this evening’s video.