• Category Archives 7-Day Outlook
  • Near Record Warmth & More Heavy Rain…

    The big weather story Tuesday across central Indiana will be the near-record warmth.  Typically it’s not until mid-May that average high temperatures climb into the lower to middle 70s, but we’re going to get an early taste of May tomorrow afternoon. Several records are in jeopardy of falling across the Ohio Valley Tuesday.

    Steadiest rains will fall across the northern third of the state Tuesday with scattered downpours through the morning and afternoon hours across central Indiana.

    Forecast radar 12p Tuesday.

    Heavier rain will overspread central Indiana late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as the cold front settles south.

    Forecast radar 4a Wednesday.

    As the front continues to sink south, much colder air will quickly overspread the area.  By the rush hour, many neighborhoods north of Indianapolis will already be around freezing.  As moisture continues to stream northeast, areas of freezing rain will be possible on elevated and exposed surfaces Wednesday morning into the afternoon hours.  With the recent warm, wet conditions, we don’t expect significant travel issues across central Indiana.

    After a quieter time of things most of Thursday, we’re tracking three additional waves of moisture Friday and through the weekend.  At times, rain will be heavy, and we’ll certainly have to be on guard for water rise and increasing flooding issues as the weekend arrives.

    By the time all is set and done Monday morning, we forecast additional widespread 3.5″ to 5″ rainfall totals with locally heavier amounts.

     


  • Sunny, Cold Open To The Work Week Gives Way To Wet Conditions Midweek…

    We’re opening the new work week on a cold, but sunny note!  While temperatures will remain well below average today, a moderating trend does begin and will eventually take us close to 60° Thursday!

    High pressure will keep us dry today and Tuesday. Look for highs in the upper 30s today, lows falling into the lower 20s tonight, and highs topping out in the mid 40s on Tuesday.

    High pressure will provide a sunny open to the work week!

    We’ll notice clouds on the increase Valentine’s Day and showers will arrive as early as the afternoon and evening hours.  Coverage of rain initially will be greatest across southern and southeastern Indiana.

    Rain returns Wednesday.

    Surface low pressure will then track into the Ohio Valley Thursday and help lead to more widespread soaking rains as a cold front presses southeast.  Eventually this front will deliver a colder close to the work week, but not before we squeeze out 0.50″ to 1″ of rain.  Despite the wet conditions, Wednesday and Thursday will feature well above average temperatures: low 50s Wednesday and close to 60° Thursday.

    Soaking rains are expected Thursday.

    We’ll turn briefly colder Friday (nothing terrible for this time of year) before a new warmup takes place over the weekend.  With that new moderating trend, moisture will return and make way for a gloomy Sunday, complete with overcast skies and showers returning.


  • Overall Mild Pattern Not Without Challenges…

    I. Areas of light snow and freezing drizzle will continue into the overnight hours and on into Wednesday morning. Watch for slick spots overnight-Wednesday morning.

    II. Clouds will finally begin to erode Wednesday night and set us up for plentiful sunshine Thursday.  Along with the increasing sunshine, a southwesterly air flow will develop and assist with providing a new “warming” trend as we close the work week.  Mid-40s are ahead Thursday and lower-50s Friday.  A “big hair warning” is officially in effect Friday as winds gust between 30-40 MPH Friday. 🙂

    III. Our next storm system arrives on the scene overnight Friday into Saturday with light rain.

    IV. We’re also monitoring the possibility of a “sneaky” snow maker Sunday night into Monday in a fast northwest flow.  Light snow will impact portions of the Ohio Valley, but we’ll have to fine tune things over the next few days with respect to specific track and placement of the swath of accumulating snow.  Stay tuned!


  • Wet To White (At Times) Through Early Week…

    A quick note before we dive into the upcoming forecast pattern.  Instead of issuing 7-day posts within the blog format, the most updated IndyWx.com 7-day forecast will now be featured at the top left of the site.  We’re continuously trying to provide you the information and content you need in a quick and concise manner- eliminating having to “scroll and search” (unless you’re bored, of course ;-))!

    Areas of fog and drizzle will continue this evening before a stronger southwesterly air flow pushes the low clouds and fog north during the overnight.  As a cold front draws closer, steadier rains and perhaps even a clap of thunder (especially down state) will arrive Monday morning.  Temperatures will remain nearly steady or even rise overnight into the lower 50s.

    The frontal passage, itself, will take place Monday evening and may feature a couple of gusty showers, especially across western and central portions of the state.

    Temperatures will grow colder Monday night into Tuesday morning and precipitation will end as snow showers Tuesday.

    High pressure will build in through midweek and provide dry conditions with increasing sunshine.  The midweek stretch will begin seasonable before warming ahead of our next storm system.

    That next storm system will deliver rain as early as Friday evening into Saturday.  We’ll note an increasingly gusty southwesterly breeze as we wrap up the work week, along with increasing cloudiness.


  • Milder, But Active…

    Highlights:

    • Gloomy close to the weekend
    • Rain-to-snow early week
    • Significant storm next weekend

    Drizzle And Fog Develops…Our Saturday opened with plentiful sunshine and milder conditions.  Unfortunately, the low cloud deck invaded through the afternoon hours and will take up residence through Sunday.  Fog and drizzle will develop tonight and continue through most of Sunday.

    Steadier rains will arrive on the scene late Sunday night into Monday morning ahead of an approaching cold front.  That cold front will sweep through the state Monday afternoon with additional showers and a dramatic wind shift.  Colder air will then press into the region and as wrap around moisture swings through the state, snow showers will develop Tuesday.

    As mentioned in previous posts, we’re in a transient and very active regime.  Just as soon as the colder air arrives for midweek, we’ll shift our air flow around to the southwest and usher in milder times to close the week.  A significant storm system is brewing next weekend.  We’ll forecast increasing cloudiness Saturday with rain arriving by afternoon.  We’ll have to keep tabs on next Sunday for the possibility of wintry conditions returning…

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: Dusting
    • Rainfall: 0.50″ to 1.00″


  • “Less Harsh;” Weekend Rain…

    Highlights:

    • Turning “less cold”
    • Weekend rain
    • Chilly early next week

    Sunny And Not As Cold…The arctic high that delivered the bitterly cold conditions over the past few days is scooting off to the southeast.  This will put the state under a milder (all relative :-)) southwesterly flow and temperatures will become “less harsh” as we wrap up the work week!

    An approaching storm system will lead to increasing clouds during the afternoon and evening Saturday and drizzle will follow Sunday morning.  As the cold front draws closer, steadier rains will arrive Sunday night into Monday.  Colder times will sweep in behind the front and allow left over precipitation to end as snow showers Monday (not a big deal).

    Tuesday and Wednesday will feature dry and chilly conditions.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall:  Dusting
    • Rainfall:  0.25″ to 0.75″


  • Frigid Times; Moderating This Weekend…

    Highlights:

    • Dangerously cold
    • Dry times return
    • Moderating this weekend

    Bitter, Bitter…Arctic high pressure will dominate our weather through the early and mid week stretch.  We note high resolution modeling trying to swing a couple bands of light lake effect snow through north-central Indiana later this afternoon and evening and we’ll continue to keep snow showers in our forecast for this reason.  Otherwise, cold is the story today.  We’re starting our Tuesday adding yet another sub-zero low to the already impressive list this winter.  Cold continues Wednesday before beginning to turn “less cold” through late week.

    Our next storm system will approach this weekend.  As low pressure tracks into the Great Lakes, a milder southwesterly flow will allow temperatures to zoom all the way up close to 50° by Sunday.  Fog and drizzle will develop Saturday before “showery” and breezy conditions build in ahead of the front Sunday.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall:  Dusting
    • Rainfall: 0.40″ to 0.50″


  • Gas Up The Plows; Arctic Air Returns…

    Highlights:

    • Heavy snow Monday morning
    • Bitter air returns
    • Milder, wet weekend

    Snowy Open To The Week…A vigorous clipper system and associated arctic cold front will drop southeast and spread a swath of snow across the region tonight into Monday.  We expect light snow to encompass most of central Indiana later this evening (between 7p and 10p west to east) before increasing in overall intensity during the overnight.  Periods of moderate to heavy snow can be expected during the mid-morning hours Monday, including impressive snowfall rates at times.  Allow plenty of extra time to reach your destination Monday.  Steady snow will give way to scattered snow showers during the afternoon, continuing into Tuesday as fresh arctic air pours into the region.  By the time all is said and done, most of the region can expect a fresh 2″ to 4″, including some locally heavier totals.  The other item on the agenda will be blowing and drifting snow that we’ll have to deal with Monday afternoon through the night and into Tuesday.

    Arctic high pressure will settle overhead Tuesday night through the midweek stretch, allowing sunshine to return, but we’ll remain well below average (average temperatures this time of year include highs in the mid-30s and lows around 20).

    A moderating trend takes place late week, but the “less cold” air will come with gusty southwesterly winds and increasing clouds Friday.  Those clouds will give way to periods of rain along with milder conditions over the weekend as an area of low pressure tracks into the Great Lakes.

    Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

    • Snowfall: 2″ to 4″ (locally heavier totals)
    • Rainfall: 0.25″ to 0.75″